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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 5, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 3:06Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Miller
  4. P1 3:46Shot by Stafford, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:55Shot by Moulson, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
  7. P1 6:02Hagelin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Myers, Ennis, Adam, Girgensons · NYR Richards, Callahan, Stralman, Hagelin, Del Zotto

  8. P1 9:55Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 10:03Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 12:37Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Miller
  11. P1 12:48Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Miller
  12. P1 12:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Miller
  13. P1 13:50Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 14:06Shot by Leino, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 15:54Shot by McDonagh, saved by Miller
  16. P1 17:47Goal by Nash (Stepan, McDonagh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers · NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider

  17. P1 18:38Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  18. P1 19:50Shot by Boyle, saved by Miller
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Miller
  22. P2 1:10Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 1:59Shot by Moore, saved by Miller
  24. P2 3:16Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 4:22Shot by Kreider, saved by Miller
  26. P2 4:27Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  27. P2 4:34Pysyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Weber, Scott, Foligno, Pysyk · NYR Richards, Callahan, Del Zotto, Moore, Zuccarello

  28. P2 5:15Shot by Stepan, saved by Miller4v5
  29. P2 6:03Shot by Callahan, saved by Miller4v5
  30. P2 8:37Shot by Stralman, saved by Miller
  31. P2 11:31Shot by Ennis, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 11:38Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 12:47Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  34. P2 14:21Shot by Moore, saved by Miller
  35. P2 14:42Shot by McBain, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 15:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 16:51Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 18:09Shot by Moore, saved by Miller
  39. P2 18:40Shot by Callahan, saved by Miller
  40. P2 18:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Miller
  41. P2 19:56Pouliot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, D'Agostini, Leino, Myers · NYR Moore, Boyle, Pouliot, Girardi, McDonagh

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 5:18Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P3 5:24Shot by Leino, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 5:38Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 6:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Miller
  48. P3 7:09Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 7:11Hodgson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, McBain, Hodgson · NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider

  50. P3 8:15Shot by Richards, saved by Miller4v5
  51. P3 8:29Goal by Richards (Brassard, Zuccarello)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Myers, Girgensons · NYR Richards, Callahan, Girardi, Brassard, Zuccarello

  52. P3 8:59Shot by Nash, saved by Miller
  53. P3 9:07Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 9:11Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 10:05Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 11:25Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 11:29Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 11:28Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 13:22Shot by Brassard, saved by Miller
  60. P3 14:47Goal by Zuccarello (Richards, McDonagh)+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, D'Agostini, McBain, Leino · NYR Richards, Pyatt, Stralman, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  61. P3 15:06Shot by Brassard, saved by Miller
  62. P3 15:30Shot by Hagelin, saved by Miller
  63. P3 15:54Shot by Brassard, saved by Miller
  64. P3 16:03Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Miller
  65. P3 16:37Shot by Ott, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 17:25Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 17:54Goal by Ennis (Girgensons)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McBain, Ennis, Adam, Girgensons · NYR Richards, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Zuccarello

  68. P3 19:22Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lundqvist6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final