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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 10, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 0:43Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 1:23Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  6. P1 2:31Shot by Adam, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 2:49Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  8. P1 3:46Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 3:52Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 4:03Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 4:42Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 6:25Goal by Michalek (Conacher)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Michalek, Turris, Conacher

  13. P1 6:43Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  14. P1 7:03Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 7:20Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 8:30Shot by Cowen, saved by Miller
  17. P1 8:34Shot by Kassian, saved by Miller
  18. P1 9:24Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  19. P1 9:49Moulson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, McBain, Ennis, Girgensons · OTT Phillips, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson, Conacher

  20. P1 12:03Ehrhoff: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons · OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Methot, Ryan, Karlsson

  21. P1 13:38Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller4v5
  22. P1 14:43Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 16:40Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 17:18Shot by Ryan, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:29Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:15Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  29. P2 0:43Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 2:36Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 4:11Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  33. P2 4:36Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  34. P2 5:25Adam: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, McBain, Scott, Flynn · OTT Spezza, Michalek, MacArthur, Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch

  35. P2 6:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v5
  36. P2 6:39Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 7:23Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Miller4v5
  38. P2 7:45Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 9:14Karlsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Moulson, McBain, Ennis, McNabb · OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Methot, Condra, Karlsson

  40. P2 9:22Shot by McBain, saved by Lehner5v4
  41. P2 10:31Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner5v4
  42. P2 10:43Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner5v4
  43. P2 10:40Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner5v4
  44. P2 10:54Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehner5v4
  45. P2 11:33Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 13:05Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  47. P2 13:13Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 13:15Goal by Girgensons (Ehrhoff)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, McBain, Ennis, Girgensons · OTT Phillips, Corvo, Michalek, Turris, Conacher

  49. P2 15:26Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lehner6v5
  50. P2 15:29Shot by McBain, saved by Lehner6v5
  51. P2 15:30Spezza: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, McBain, Hodgson, Ennis, Adam · OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Methot, Ryan, Karlsson

  52. P2 15:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Lehner5v4
  53. P2 15:53Shot by Turris, saved by Miller5v4
  54. P2 16:26Shot by McBain, saved by Lehner5v4
  55. P2 16:43Shot by McBain, saved by Lehner5v4
  56. P2 17:51Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  57. P2 18:36Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 18:57Zibanejad: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, McBain, Hodgson, Adam · OTT Neil, Smith, Wiercioch, Cowen, Zibanejad

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:41Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  62. P3 2:14Shot by Adam, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 3:00Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 3:55Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  65. P3 6:02Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  66. P3 6:27Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 6:37Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  68. P3 7:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 8:54Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  70. P3 9:02Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  71. P3 9:18Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  72. P3 9:16Shot by Conacher, saved by Miller
  73. P3 15:42Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 15:52Shot by McBain, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 16:49Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  76. P3 17:13Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  77. P3 17:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  78. P3 18:56Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  79. P3 19:15Shot by Corvo, saved by Miller
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:50Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v4
  83. OT 1:00Shot by Methot, saved by Miller4v4
  84. OT 1:48Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lehner4v4
  85. OT 2:44Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller4v4
  86. OT 5:00Period end
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Goal by Moulson, unassistedother
  89. SO Shot by Karlsson, saved by Millerother
  90. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehnerother
  91. SO Goal by Zibanejad, unassistedother
  92. SO Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehnerother
  93. SO Shot by Ryan, saved by Millerother
  94. SO Shot by Adam, saved by Lehnerother
  95. SO Shot by Conacher, saved by Millerother
  96. SO Goal by Flynn, unassistedother
  97. SO Goal by Turris, unassistedother
  98. SO Goal by Ott, unassistedother
  99. SO Goal by Michalek, unassistedother
  100. SO Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lehnerother
  101. SO Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Millerother
  102. SO Shot by Foligno, saved by Lehnerother
  103. SO Shot by MacArthur, saved by Millerother
  104. SO Goal by Girgensons, unassistedother
  105. SO Shot by Condra, saved by Millerother
  106. SO Period end
  107. SO Final