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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 10, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–MacArthur–RyanMichalek–Turris–ConacherNeil–Greening–SmithNeil–Greening–ZibanejadTurris–Conacher–ZibanejadKassian–Condra–SmithSpezza–MacArthur–CondraMethot–KarlssonPhillips–CorvoWiercioch–CowenKarlsson–CowenPhillips–KarlssonCorvo–MethotCorvo–Cowen
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons3:110.19–0.103:410.39–0.180:560.13–0.000:470.16–0.004:340.19–0.173:230.33–0.161:140.13–0.001:080.00–0.000:470.01–0.000:440.21–0.00
D'Agostini–Hodgson–Adam2:190.05–0.001:590.00–0.141:400.05–0.001:090.00–0.001:550.00–0.320:360.04–0.003:120.05–0.033:040.00–0.323:060.01–0.16
Ott–Stafford–Foligno3:000.15–0.220:390.02–0.002:330.03–0.152:560.14–0.242:460.02–0.073:120.03–0.320:550.04–0.05
McCormick–Scott–Flynn0:430.00–0.030:400.00–0.001:210.00–0.101:110.00–0.032:280.00–0.10
Ehrhoff–McBain3:170.31–0.002:350.34–0.042:250.16–0.001:570.03–0.000:570.00–0.315:220.31–0.135:150.20–0.334:010.31–0.040:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Tallinder–Myers2:070.09–0.173:230.24–0.182:200.04–0.020:430.12–0.071:000.00–0.051:130.00–0.102:290.09–0.134:540.15–0.324:260.03–0.180:320.00–0.050:470.21–0.00
McNabb–Pysyk4:140.07–0.220:560.00–0.070:310.00–0.000:360.04–0.000:420.15–0.024:010.20–0.241:400.00–0.002:160.00–0.241:200.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Pysyk0:440.00–0.01
Tallinder–Pysyk0:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FOtt FStafford FFoligno FHodgson FAdam FD'Agostini FMcCormick FScott FFlynn FMcBain DEhrhoff DMyers DTallinder DPysyk DMcNabb DMiller GTurris FMichalek FConacher FGreening FSmith FNeil FRyan FMacArthur FSpezza FCondra FKassian FZibanejad FPhillips DCorvo DCowen DWiercioch DKarlsson DMethot DLehner G
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF2828:051:002:0556
Jamie McBainBUF2626:161:012:0245
Chris PhillipsOTT3325:230:461:4956
Erik KarlssonOTT2824:160:521:3043
Clarke MacArthurOTT2823:210:501:2464
Tyler MyersBUF2822:230:482:1115
Kyle TurrisOTT2821:560:471:3532
Tyler EnnisBUF2321:550:572:5251
Jared CowenOTT2521:260:511:2145
Matt MoulsonBUF2521:200:511:5753
Henrik TallinderBUF2821:160:462:1116
Joe CorvoOTT2921:160:441:2153
Jason SpezzaOTT2520:460:501:2652
Marc MethotOTT2520:010:481:3542
Milan MichalekOTT2819:560:431:1621
Cody HodgsonBUF2219:460:541:5646
Bobby RyanOTT2219:180:531:2951
Steve OttBUF2718:450:421:5547
Patrick WierciochOTT2318:070:471:2543
Marcus FolignoBUF2517:430:431:0836
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2617:310:401:2521
Drew StaffordBUF2416:400:421:0833
Mark PysykBUF2416:210:411:1324
Brayden McNabbBUF2115:480:451:1232
Matt D'AgostiniBUF1914:440:471:2235
Colin GreeningOTT2114:430:421:0763
Mika ZibanejadOTT2014:380:441:0032
Luke AdamBUF1814:340:491:1431
Zack SmithOTT1913:270:421:1135
Cory ConacherOTT1612:290:471:0811
Chris NeilOTT1711:450:411:0133
Erik CondraOTT138:200:381:1112
Brian FlynnBUF138:110:381:3600
Cody McCormickBUF117:310:411:3600
John ScottBUF75:160:451:0600
Matt KassianOTT43:080:470:5000