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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Killorn, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 2:47Shot by Crombeen, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 7:26Shot by St. Louis, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 7:56Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 7:59Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 10:17Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 11:39Shot by Filppula, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 15:02Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 15:04Goal by Quincey (Nyquist, Smith)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Sustr · DET Bertuzzi, Quincey, Franzen, Smith, Nyquist

  12. P1 15:41Palat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen, Kindl, Abdelkader

  13. P1 15:44Shot by Kindl, saved by Bishop4v5
  14. P1 17:44Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 18:09Ericsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Sustr · DET Ericsson, Quincey, Miller, Abdelkader, Andersson

  16. P1 19:15Shot by Carle, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  17. P1 19:59Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:27Shot by Carle, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P2 3:06Barberio: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Crombeen, Tyrell, Barberio · DET Cleary, Samuelsson, Quincey, Kindl, Emmerton

  22. P2 3:17Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop4v5
  23. P2 3:54Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop4v5
  24. P2 5:30Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 6:31Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 7:39Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 8:41Shot by Filppula, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 9:45Shot by Palat, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 9:46Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Taormina, Palat · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader

  30. P2 9:51Shot by Gudas, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  31. P2 12:52Shot by Barberio, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 13:18Shot by Tyrell, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 15:56Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 17:08Shot by Carle, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 17:29Shot by Purcell, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 18:32Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 19:16Goal by Kucherov (Brown)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Thompson, Gudas, Kucherov, Brown · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Kindl, Abdelkader, Lashoff

  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:40Shot by Purcell, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P3 1:21Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop
  42. P3 1:24Palat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Johnson, Palat, Sustr · DET Bertuzzi, Quincey, Franzen, Smith, Nyquist

  43. P3 1:45Shot by Crombeen, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  44. P3 2:09Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P3 3:03Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop4v5
  46. P3 3:42Shot by Killorn, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P3 4:22Shot by Cleary, saved by Bishop
  48. P3 5:02Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 5:23Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Bishop
  50. P3 5:27Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 5:33Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 10:17Shot by Taormina, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 10:53Shot by Palat, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 11:21Shot by Brewer, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 11:53Shot by Killorn, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 13:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 13:21Tatar: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Taormina, Palat, Kucherov · DET Kronwall, Miller, Kindl, Andersson, Tatar

  58. P3 13:28Shot by Taormina, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  59. P3 14:01Shot by Salo, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  60. P3 16:32Sustr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Thompson, Tyrell, Brown, Sustr · DET Quincey, Miller, Kindl, Andersson, Tatar

  61. P3 16:41Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop4v5
  62. P3 17:00Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop4v5
  63. P3 19:15Shot by Purcell, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 19:17Abdelkader: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn · DET Quincey, Miller, Abdelkader, Smith, Andersson

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. OT 0:00Period start
  67. OT 2:04Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop4v4
  68. OT 2:11Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bishop4v4
  69. OT 2:31Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bishop4v4
  70. OT 3:13Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop4v4
  71. OT 4:51Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop4v4
  72. OT 5:00Period end
  73. SO Period start
  74. SO Shot by Purcell, saved by Gustavssonother
  75. SO Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishopother
  76. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Gustavssonother
  77. SO Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishopother
  78. SO Shot by Filppula, saved by Gustavssonother
  79. SO Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishopother
  80. SO Shot by Carle, saved by Gustavssonother
  81. SO Shot by Johnson, saved by Gustavssonother
  82. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishopother
  83. SO Goal by St. Louis, unassistedother
  84. SO Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishopother
  85. SO Period end
  86. SO Final