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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Alfredsson–Datsyuk–AbdelkaderMiller–Andersson–TatarBertuzzi–Franzen–NyquistCleary–Samuelsson–EmmertonMiller–Abdelkader–AnderssonDatsyuk–Miller–TatarQuincey–SmithKronwall–EricssonKindl–LashoffQuincey–KindlKronwall–KindlKronwall–LashoffKindl–SmithEricsson–QuinceyKronwall–Smith
St. Louis–Johnson–Palat3:560.34–0.302:160.00–0.183:510.11–0.080:360.00–0.003:050.00–0.065:380.34–0.230:350.00–0.300:410.11–0.000:460.00–0.00
Filppula–Purcell–Killorn3:110.15–0.050:360.00–0.004:320.10–0.370:460.09–0.002:010.25–0.085:100.19–0.402:470.16–0.020:360.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:530.18–0.00
Thompson–Kucherov–Brown1:290.11–0.035:440.04–0.350:440.00–0.001:010.02–0.001:050.00–0.020:380.00–0.006:080.22–0.370:400.00–0.00
St. Louis–Crombeen–Tyrell0:390.00–0.000:380.02–0.000:410.00–0.00
Crombeen–Killorn–Tyrell0:470.00–0.191:140.00–0.19
Filppula–Crombeen–Tyrell0:330.00–0.00
Carle–Gudas7:370.46–0.391:140.05–0.001:000.03–0.003:040.12–0.072:430.20–0.003:010.13–0.010:330.00–0.010:350.00–0.300:410.11–0.000:380.00–0.00
Brewer–Sustr1:470.03–0.190:480.08–0.005:590.15–0.394:480.11–0.582:310.15–0.000:570.09–0.000:360.00–0.00
Salo–Taormina5:480.03–0.200:370.18–0.001:560.00–0.001:570.06–0.181:530.00–0.020:400.00–0.000:370.18–0.00
Salo–Barberio3:090.12–0.330:310.00–0.000:450.10–0.001:470.00–0.33
Carle–Sustr0:500.00–0.000:420.00–0.020:550.00–0.07
Brewer–Barberio1:260.02–0.001:030.00–0.06
Salo–Brewer0:400.07–0.000:490.07–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FBrown FThompson FKucherov FCrombeen FTyrell FGudas DCarle DBrewer DSustr DSalo DTaormina DBarberio DBishop GAbdelkader FAlfredsson FDatsyuk FNyquist FBertuzzi FFranzen FAndersson FMiller FTatar FEmmerton FSamuelsson FCleary FEricsson DKronwall DSmith DQuincey DKindl DLashoff DGustavsson G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Niklas KronwallDET3427:090:481:4965
Pavel DatsyukDET3224:530:471:3665
Matt CarleTBL2824:270:521:3555
Radko GudasTBL2823:490:511:3254
Tyler JohnsonTBL2923:330:491:5695
Martin St. LouisTBL3022:320:451:3572
Ondrej PalatTBL2922:260:461:5673
Sami SaloTBL2621:240:492:0658
Kyle QuinceyDET2721:200:471:3843
Eric BrewerTBL2520:330:491:5427
Jonathan EricssonDET2720:110:451:4944
Brendan SmithDET2720:040:451:2931
Jakub KindlDET2220:010:551:3363
Drew MillerDET2319:540:521:2926
Daniel AlfredssonDET2719:350:441:1761
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2418:500:471:2133
Alex KillornTBL2217:500:491:5032
Joakim AnderssonDET2317:490:461:1536
Justin AbdelkaderDET2817:450:381:3611
Tomas TatarDET2017:420:531:2953
Johan FranzenDET2817:290:371:1377
Teddy PurcellTBL2217:240:471:3022
Matt TaorminaTBL2015:420:472:0632
Andrej SustrTBL1915:090:482:1332
Todd BertuzziDET2214:560:411:1375
Nate ThompsonTBL2214:550:411:2828
Gustav NyquistDET2114:500:421:2655
Nikita KucherovTBL1914:470:471:2833
Brian LashoffDET2114:230:411:0824
JT BrownTBL1712:410:451:2822
Daniel ClearyDET1810:300:351:0643
B.J. CrombeenTBL149:550:431:4016
Dana TyrellTBL148:500:381:4013
Mikael SamuelssonDET138:270:391:0540
Mark BarberioTBL97:130:481:1842
Cory EmmertonDET85:040:380:5610