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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 19, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Josi, saved by Lindback
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Panik, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 2:25Goal by Killorn (Hedman, Cote)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Bartley, Spaling, Jones

  5. P1 3:42Shot by Brewer, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 4:33Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 4:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 4:57Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 5:01Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Johnson, Panik · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Weber, Clune, Josi

  10. P1 5:01Hendricks: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Johnson, Panik · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Weber, Clune, Josi

  11. P1 7:12Shot by St. Louis, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 7:53Gudas: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Thompson, Gudas, Kucherov, Brown · NSH Cullen, Bartley, Smith, Bourque, Jones

  13. P1 10:31Shot by Purcell, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 12:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 12:48Shot by Filppula, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 14:05Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
  17. P1 14:48Thompson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Thompson, Kucherov, Brown, Sustr · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Stalberg, Bartley, Jones

  18. P1 15:20Shot by Spaling, saved by Lindback4v5
  19. P1 15:27Shot by Spaling, saved by Lindback4v5
  20. P1 16:23Shot by Legwand, saved by Lindback4v5
  21. P1 16:45Shot by Fisher, saved by Lindback4v5
  22. P1 16:55Shot by Legwand, saved by Lindback
  23. P1 17:09Shot by Legwand, saved by Lindback
  24. P1 18:43Smith: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Sustr · NSH Cullen, Klein, Bartley, Smith, Bourque

  25. P1 19:06Goal by St. Louis (Salo, Killorn)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn · NSH Fisher, Weber, Spaling, Josi

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:55Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lindback
  29. P2 1:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton
  30. P2 2:49Hendricks: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Purcell, Panik, Gudas · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Clune, Bartley, Jones

  31. P2 3:18Shot by Weber, saved by Lindback5v4
  32. P2 4:36Purcell: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Palat · NSH Fisher, Klein, Stalberg, Bartley

  33. P2 6:36Goal by Smith (Cullen, Weber)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Gudas, Brown · NSH Cullen, Weber, Spaling, Smith, Jones

  34. P2 8:27Goal by Purcell (Filppula, Carle)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman · NSH Legwand, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque

  35. P2 9:49Shot by Fisher, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 9:56Shot by Josi, saved by Lindback
  37. P2 11:27Gudas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · NSH Legwand, Klein, Hornqvist, Ellis, Bourque

  38. P2 12:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Lindback4v5
  39. P2 12:57Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback4v5
  40. P2 13:02Goal by Smith (Cullen, Ellis)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Hedman, Brown · NSH Cullen, Spaling, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  41. P2 13:51Goal by Panik (Brewer, Sustr)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Panik, Kucherov, Sustr · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Klein, Clune, Ellis

  42. P2 14:26Shot by Stalberg, saved by Lindback
  43. P2 14:36Stalberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Sustr · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Weber, Stalberg, Josi

  44. P2 16:04Shot by Killorn, saved by Mazanec5v4
  45. P2 16:20Shot by Filppula, saved by Mazanec5v4
  46. P2 16:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mazanec5v4
  47. P2 17:42Shot by Legwand, saved by Lindback
  48. P2 17:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lindback
  49. P2 18:00Shot by Spaling, saved by Lindback
  50. P2 18:56Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback
  51. P2 19:58Shot by Palat, saved by Mazanec
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Mazanec
  55. P3 1:13Josi: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Stalberg, Josi, Ellis

  56. P3 3:49Shot by Panik, saved by Mazanec
  57. P3 5:29Shot by Palat, saved by Mazanec
  58. P3 5:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Mazanec
  59. P3 6:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Mazanec
  60. P3 6:16Shot by Gudas, saved by Mazanec
  61. P3 6:42Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lindback
  62. P3 7:12Shot by Weber, saved by Lindback
  63. P3 7:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Mazanec
  64. P3 7:42Shot by Panik, saved by Mazanec
  65. P3 8:19Crombeen: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Cote, Crombeen, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Weber, Clune, Stalberg, Josi

  66. P3 10:42Shot by Filppula, saved by Mazanec
  67. P3 10:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Mazanec
  68. P3 10:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Mazanec
  69. P3 11:52Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mazanec
  70. P3 12:02Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lindback
  71. P3 12:09Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback
  72. P3 13:44Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lindback
  73. P3 14:55Shot by St. Louis, saved by Mazanec
  74. P3 15:00Shot by Gudas, saved by Mazanec
  75. P3 15:36Shot by Weber, saved by Lindback
  76. P3 15:45Shot by Killorn, saved by Mazanec
  77. P3 17:16Shot by Josi, saved by Lindback
  78. P3 18:37Shot by Smith, saved by Lindback5v6
  79. P3 19:58Shot by Legwand, saved by Lindback5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final