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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 19, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fisher–Nystrom–StalbergLegwand–Hornqvist–BourqueHendricks–Gaustad–CluneCullen–Smith–BourqueCullen–Spaling–SmithLegwand–Hornqvist–SpalingGaustad–Nystrom–StalbergLegwand–Fisher–StalbergWeber–JosiKlein–EllisBartley–JonesKlein–BartleyEllis–JonesBartley–Ellis
St. Louis–Johnson–Palat4:360.05–0.060:460.00–0.001:590.11–0.100:390.00–0.003:320.13–0.054:540.39–0.041:050.00–0.08
Filppula–Purcell–Killorn3:000.10–0.142:210.13–0.012:430.05–0.110:410.22–0.000:350.00–0.007:250.46–0.260:500.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:090.22–0.070:560.00–0.00
Thompson–Kucherov–Brown1:420.11–0.122:400.26–0.040:390.02–0.001:040.00–0.002:340.24–0.091:120.04–0.000:480.07–0.04
Crombeen–Thompson–Panik1:050.11–0.000:390.07–0.000:310.00–0.000:580.07–0.001:130.11–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov0:440.00–0.000:340.00–0.34
Carle–Gudas2:340.17–0.091:280.14–0.000:400.00–0.022:250.00–0.050:360.00–0.005:330.19–0.141:240.00–0.021:350.06–0.080:500.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman2:150.11–0.071:120.07–0.000:580.00–0.002:020.06–0.041:550.11–0.002:050.13–0.062:530.11–0.001:350.00–0.011:070.00–0.070:480.07–0.00
Brewer–Sustr3:410.05–0.160:320.11–0.040:580.05–0.000:310.00–0.044:040.15–0.201:180.13–0.010:500.11–0.001:060.04–0.00
Cote–Carle0:430.10–0.000:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:480.10–0.00
Cote–Hedman1:100.11–0.000:350.22–0.001:160.20–0.001:040.09–0.00
Brewer–Cote0:300.13–0.000:430.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:300.13–0.00
Salo–Cote0:480.00–0.000:380.23–0.000:480.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:570.16–0.08
Hedman–Gudas0:440.00–0.000:340.00–0.34
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FBrown FThompson FKucherov FCrombeen FPanik FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DSustr DCote DLindback GLegwand FSpaling FHornqvist FFisher FNystrom FStalberg FCullen FSmith FBourque FClune FHendricks FGaustad FWeber DJosi DEllis DKlein DJones DBartley DHutton GMazanec G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3829:030:462:5867
Shea WeberNSH3627:530:462:0667
Martin St. LouisTBL2822:130:481:5373
Ondrej PalatTBL2721:370:481:2526
Victor HedmanTBL2620:480:481:4236
Mike FisherNSH2220:470:572:5833
Tyler JohnsonTBL2820:400:441:2543
Sami SaloTBL2319:380:511:5665
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2419:290:492:4134
Matt CarleTBL2319:090:502:1613
David LegwandNSH2218:450:512:1630
Eric BrewerTBL2218:310:511:4715
Alex KillornTBL2217:560:492:3341
Radko GudasTBL2417:230:431:3204
Patric HornqvistNSH2617:150:402:1641
Teddy PurcellTBL2317:140:452:3332
Matt CullenNSH1916:510:532:1593
Ryan EllisNSH2216:310:451:4242
Victor BartleyNSH2416:290:411:3531
Nick SpalingNSH2116:060:461:4691
Eric NystromNSH2116:050:461:3613
Nate ThompsonTBL2215:440:431:3033
Seth JonesNSH2215:140:421:2441
Kevin KleinNSH2314:580:391:2132
Craig SmithNSH1914:550:471:2183
Viktor StalbergNSH2314:240:381:2011
Gabriel BourqueNSH1813:390:461:3642
JT BrownTBL1812:330:421:1923
Paul GaustadNSH1612:170:461:4807
Nikita KucherovTBL1611:360:441:2022
Andrej SustrTBL1711:020:391:1102
Jean-Philippe CoteTBL139:430:451:4350
Richard PanikTBL129:090:461:3042
Matt HendricksNSH128:570:451:4805
B.J. CrombeenTBL116:000:330:4642
Rich CluneNSH115:440:310:5503