Fri, Dec 27, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
55%
31%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:19 | 0.14 | 54.2% | +47.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.01 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:49 | 0.04 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.09 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.13 | 60.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.11 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.30 | 48.6% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:12 | 1.01 | 51.6% | +61.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:57 | 0.63 | 65.5% | +47.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.65 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.04 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.18 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.17 | 30.8% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.04 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:39 | 0.39 | 29.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.41 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 5.25 | +2.2 | 64:05 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:56 | 0.38 | 45.8% | +25.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:06 | 0.20 | 41.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:57 | 0.12 | 50.2% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:29 | 0.56 | 52.4% | +25.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.97 | 52.7% | +41.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.13 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.14 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.04 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:59 | 0.40 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18:36 | 0.83 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.04 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.36 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.82 | 69.8% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.06 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.07 | 59.1% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:20 | 0.11 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 4.36 | +1.4 | 65:00 |