Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 27, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:08Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  3. P1 2:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  5. P1 2:30Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 2:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 3:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Miller
  8. P1 3:51Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  9. P1 3:54Shot by Raymond, saved by Miller
  10. P1 7:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 7:01Goal by Moulson (Girgensons, McBain)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · BUF Moulson, Weber, McBain, Ennis, Girgensons

  12. P1 7:51Shot by Scott, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 7:53Goal by Scott (Ellis)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Raymond, Gunnarsson, Holland · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, D'Agostini, Scott, Pysyk

  14. P1 8:53Shot by McBain, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 9:13Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 9:36Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 10:08Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 13:30Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  19. P1 13:58Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  20. P1 14:55Shot by Ranger, saved by Miller
  21. P1 8:55Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 15:47Shot by Leino, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 17:15Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  24. P1 17:26Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 18:06Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 18:51Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:09Ehrhoff: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Pysyk, Flynn

  30. P2 2:02Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 2:12Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller5v4
  32. P2 2:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v4
  33. P2 3:06Shot by Raymond, saved by Miller5v4
  34. P2 3:14Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  35. P2 4:02Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 4:04Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 5:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller
  38. P2 5:50Shot by McBain, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 7:46Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  40. P2 8:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  41. P2 9:04Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 9:35Shot by Moulson, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 10:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller
  44. P2 11:38Goal by Gardiner (Kessel, Franson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · BUF Tallinder, Ellis, D'Agostini, Scott, Myers

  45. P2 16:25Goal by Holland (Raymond, Franson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Raymond, Franson, Holland, Rielly · BUF Ott, Stafford, Weber, McBain, Flynn

  46. P2 16:49Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  47. P2 17:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  48. P2 18:21Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  49. P2 18:47Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  50. P2 19:16Scott: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Franson, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · BUF Ellis, D'Agostini, Weber, McBain, Scott

  51. P2 19:40Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v4
  52. P2 19:43Goal by Kessel (van Riemsdyk, Phaneuf)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk · BUF Tallinder, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:59Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  56. P3 1:10Shot by Raymond, saved by Miller
  57. P3 2:18Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  58. P3 2:19Omark: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · BUF Tallinder, Omark, Leino, Myers, Foligno

  59. P3 3:01Shot by Franson, saved by Miller5v4
  60. P3 4:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller5v4
  61. P3 4:56Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 6:05Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  63. P3 7:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 8:21Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 10:15Shot by McBain, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 10:31Shot by Ellis, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 11:30Shot by Clarkson, saved by Miller
  68. P3 12:08Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 13:56Shot by Scott, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 15:10Shot by Clarkson, saved by Miller
  71. P3 15:32Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  72. P3 16:07Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 16:45Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  74. P3 17:08Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 18:05Shot by Rielly, saved by Miller
  76. P3 19:06Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier5v6
  77. P3 19:09Phaneuf: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Moulson, McBain, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons

  78. P3 19:12Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier4v6
  79. P3 19:33Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier4v6
  80. P3 19:35Goal by Ott (Moulson, Myers)4v6+47 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Ranger, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. OT 0:00Period start
  83. OT 2:01Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier4v4
  84. OT 2:41Shot by McClement, saved by Miller4v4
  85. OT 3:10Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier4v4
  86. OT 3:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v4
  87. OT 3:46Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller4v4
  88. OT 4:35Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v4
  89. OT 5:00Phaneuf: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Rielly · BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Myers, Girgensons

  90. OT 5:00Period end
  91. SO Period start
  92. SO Shot by Kessel, saved by Millerother
  93. SO Goal by Lupul, unassistedother
  94. SO Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Millerother
  95. SO Period end
  96. SO Final