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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Detroit Red Wings 5, Dallas Stars 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 65% of the time.

DAL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Goligoski, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:23Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Connauton, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:33Shot by Fiddler, saved by Howard
  6. P1 2:36Shot by Whitney, saved by Howard
  7. P1 2:47Shot by Gaunce, saved by Howard
  8. P1 3:52Shot by Benn, saved by Howard
  9. P1 4:29Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Howard
  10. P1 4:30Marchenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Dillon, Seguin, Nichushkin · DET Bertuzzi, Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Marchenko

  11. P1 4:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Howard5v4
  12. P1 5:18Shot by Peverley, saved by Howard5v4
  13. P1 6:13Shot by Chiasson, saved by Howard5v4
  14. P1 6:16Shot by Seguin, saved by Howard5v4
  15. P1 7:04Goal by Zetterberg, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rome, Benn, Roussel, Seguin, Garbutt · DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kindl, Nyquist, Lashoff

  16. P1 7:14Shot by Cole, saved by Howard
  17. P1 8:52Shot by Dillon, saved by Howard
  18. P1 9:28Benn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Horcoff, Fiddler, Rome, Benn · DET Cleary, Eaves, Quincey, Marchenko, Glendening

  19. P1 9:38Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ellis4v5
  20. P1 9:48Cleary: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Peverley, Roussel, Dillon · DET Cleary, Samuelsson, Kindl, Nyquist, Tatar

  21. P1 10:11Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ellis4v4
  22. P1 11:04Shot by Connauton, saved by Howard4v4
  23. P1 11:46Shot by Roussel, saved by Howard5v4
  24. P1 11:48Roussel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Nichushkin · DET Kronwall, Quincey, Miller, Andersson

  25. P1 12:47Goal by Horcoff (Peverley)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Rome, Peverley, Benn · DET Alfredsson, Cleary, Kronwall, Nyquist, Tatar

  26. P1 12:53Shot by Benn, saved by Howard4v5
  27. P1 14:02Dillon: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Connauton, Dillon, Seguin, Garbutt · DET Kronwall, Abdelkader, Smith, Tatar, Glendening

  28. P1 14:00Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ellis
  29. P1 14:02Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ellisother
  30. P1 14:41Shot by Smith, saved by Ellis
  31. P1 15:18Shot by Quincey, saved by Ellis
  32. P1 17:01Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ellis
  33. P1 17:29Shot by Benn, saved by Howard
  34. P1 17:43Shot by Connauton, saved by Howard
  35. P1 17:57Shot by Smith, saved by Ellis
  36. P1 18:05Goal by Andersson (Quincey)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Peverley, Gaunce, Chiasson · DET Samuelsson, Quincey, Andersson, Tatar, Marchenko

  37. P1 18:16Shot by Miller, saved by Ellis
  38. P1 18:17Shot by Miller, saved by Ellis
  39. P1 18:19Goal by Miller (Abdelkader)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Rome, Peverley, Benn, Chiasson · DET Bertuzzi, Quincey, Miller, Abdelkader, Marchenko

  40. P1 0:00Period end
  41. P2 0:00Period start
  42. P2 1:00Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 1:33Shot by Dillon, saved by Howard
  44. P2 2:35Shot by Goligoski, saved by Howard
  45. P2 3:49Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 4:14Glendening: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Horcoff, Fiddler, Goligoski, Dillon · DET Alfredsson, Kindl, Nyquist, Lashoff, Glendening

  47. P2 4:45Shot by Seguin, saved by Howard5v4
  48. P2 6:43Shot by Dillon, saved by Howard
  49. P2 7:41Shot by Lashoff, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P2 8:31Shot by Benn, saved by Howard
  51. P2 9:13Shot by Benn, saved by Howard
  52. P2 9:34Shot by Peverley, saved by Howard
  53. P2 10:57Shot by Whitney, saved by Howard
  54. P2 11:57Goal by Tatar, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Gaunce, Dillon, Seguin, Nichushkin · DET Kronwall, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Tatar

  55. P2 12:20Shot by Garbutt, saved by Howard
  56. P2 12:22Shot by Roussel, saved by Howard
  57. P2 12:23Kindl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gaunce, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · DET Bertuzzi, Kronwall, Miller, Kindl, Abdelkader

  58. P2 13:18Shot by Seguin, saved by Howard5v4
  59. P2 16:19Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Benn, Gaunce, Chiasson, Seguin · DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Smith, Tatar

  60. P2 16:59Shot by Cole, saved by Howard5v4
  61. P2 17:46Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  62. P2 18:14Shot by Eakin, saved by Howard5v4
  63. P2 18:20Shot by Garbutt, saved by Howard
  64. P2 18:55Shot by Cole, saved by Howard
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 1:02Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 2:40Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 3:42Shot by Peverley, saved by Howard
  70. P3 3:44Shot by Peverley, saved by Howard
  71. P3 5:59Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehtonen
  72. P3 6:28Roussel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gaunce, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · DET Samuelsson, Quincey, Andersson, Tatar, Marchenko

  73. P3 6:41Bertuzzi: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Peverley, Dillon, Garbutt · DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Eaves

  74. P3 7:48Shot by Connauton, saved by Howard4v4
  75. P3 8:32Shot by Andersson, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  76. P3 8:32Benn: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Connauton, Seguin · DET Kronwall, Smith, Andersson, Nyquist

  77. P3 8:38Shot by Kindl, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  78. P3 9:38Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  79. P3 9:53Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  80. P3 11:21Shot by Seguin, saved by Howard
  81. P3 11:25Shot by Benn, saved by Howard
  82. P3 11:44Shot by Seguin, saved by Howard
  83. P3 12:39Goal by Zetterberg (Cleary)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Peverley, Connauton, Dillon, Nichushkin · DET Cleary, Zetterberg, Eaves, Quincey, Kindl

  84. P3 13:14Shot by Gaunce, saved by Howard
  85. P3 14:14Shot by Eaves, saved by Lehtonen
  86. P3 16:18Shot by Cole, saved by Howard
  87. P3 17:18Shot by Whitney, saved by Howard
  88. P3 18:23Kindl: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Peverley, Gaunce, Chiasson, Connauton · DET Alfredsson, Kindl, Andersson, Nyquist, Lashoff

  89. P3 19:58Shot by Whitney, saved by Howard5v4
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final