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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Semin–Staal–TlustyDwyer–Gerbe–StaalDvorak–Malhotra–BowmanRuutu–Nash–SkinnerHainsey–LilesSekera–FaulkHarrison–BellemoreHainsey–Bellemore
Moulson–Stafford–Ennis4:350.13–0.431:100.00–0.091:260.54–0.003:090.56–0.194:540.11–0.20
Foligno–Flynn–Girgensons2:010.00–0.051:450.00–0.080:400.14–0.011:290.00–0.003:170.00–0.052:470.21–0.08
Ott–D'Agostini–Hodgson1:570.09–0.082:210.00–0.051:030.13–0.000:490.03–0.002:560.13–0.090:390.00–0.002:090.12–0.03
McCormick–Ellis–Leino1:510.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:580.00–0.191:250.00–0.001:490.00–0.12
Moulson–Stafford–Leino1:330.00–0.200:530.00–0.00
Weber–Myers5:110.11–0.604:060.00–0.142:240.63–0.001:290.00–0.066:070.65–0.415:240.08–0.143:020.09–0.22
Ehrhoff–Sulzer6:100.11–0.402:100.02–0.083:160.17–0.181:540.04–0.063:500.04–0.246:170.26–0.213:440.05–0.07
Sulzer–Weber0:560.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStafford FMoulson FEnnis FOtt FHodgson FD'Agostini FGirgensons FScott FFlynn FFoligno FMcCormick FLeino FEllis FEhrhoff DSulzer DWeber DMyers DMcBain DMiller GStaal FTlusty FSemin FStaal FGerbe FDwyer FRuutu FNash FSkinner FDvorak FBowman FMalhotra FSekera DFaulk DHainsey DLiles DHarrison DBellemore DWard G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF3024:200:491:2638
Tyler MyersBUF3023:080:461:3415
John-Michael LilesCAR2322:400:592:1541
Justin FaulkCAR2822:330:481:3345
Mike WeberBUF2822:210:481:4005
Andrej SekeraCAR2821:520:471:3155
Alexander SulzerBUF2821:450:471:2818
Eric StaalCAR2720:400:461:2461
Alexander SeminCAR2619:410:451:2471
Drew StaffordBUF2519:310:471:2744
Ron HainseyCAR2419:240:491:3532
Jiri TlustyCAR2517:360:421:0571
Jordan StaalCAR2517:310:421:4153
Steve OttBUF2317:110:451:19310
Matt MoulsonBUF2116:560:481:2732
Marcus FolignoBUF2216:180:441:1424
Nathan GerbeCAR2216:060:441:4152
Jeff SkinnerCAR2115:490:451:3180
Jamie McBainBUF2115:330:441:1957
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2115:270:441:2234
Tuomo RuutuCAR1815:210:511:4670
Brian FlynnBUF2414:560:371:0546
Jay HarrisonCAR1914:260:461:2051
Tyler EnnisBUF1814:020:471:2740
Brett BellemoreCAR2113:570:401:2052
Matt D'AgostiniBUF1913:290:431:1935
Ville LeinoBUF1612:530:482:0503
Patrick DwyerCAR2012:510:391:1146
Cody HodgsonBUF1812:490:431:0545
Drayson BowmanCAR1711:500:421:2632
Manny MalhotraCAR1711:270:401:3516
Riley NashCAR1811:230:381:1560
John ScottBUF1611:010:411:0736
Radek DvorakCAR1610:210:391:2613
Cody McCormickBUF139:170:431:0803
Matt EllisBUF129:030:451:1901