Wed, Jan 15, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
11%
35%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 26:08 | 0.10 | 25.7% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:02 | 0.11 | 77.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.11 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:45 | 0.64 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:23 | 0.24 | 66.6% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.07 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.05 | 31.5% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 27.2% | +22.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.31 | 18.0% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.05 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.08 | 55.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.01 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.33 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 64:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 25:37 | 0.32 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:33 | 0.16 | 56.2% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:27 | 0.08 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.04 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:18 | 0.23 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:53 | 0.19 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.05 | 35.9% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 20:16 | 0.31 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:16 | 0.02 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.30 | 43.0% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.20 | 36.5% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.13 | 66.6% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.09 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.09 | 76.9% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:07 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:30 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:28 | 0.12 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.11 | −0.9 | 64:19 |