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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

San Jose Sharks 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Filppula, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Brown, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 1:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 2:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 4:19Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 4:24Shot by Desjardins, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 4:39Shot by St. Louis, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 7:15Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 8:56Shot by Brewer, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 9:31Shot by Nieto, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:46Goal by Nieto (Marleau, Wingels)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · SJS Marleau, Stuart, Braun, Wingels, Nieto

  13. P1 10:00Shot by Vlasic, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:05Shot by Vlasic, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 11:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  16. P1 11:29Shot by Panik, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 11:39Kennedy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Barberio, Johnson, Panik · SJS Stuart, Kennedy, Desjardins, Kearns, Braun

  18. P1 11:56Goal by St. Louis (Johnson, Purcell)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman · SJS Marleau, Stuart, Pavelski, Braun

  19. P1 12:29Shot by Irwin, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 12:44Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 12:52Goal by Marleau (Nieto, Wingels)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Demers, Wingels, Nieto

  22. P1 14:58Shot by McCarthy, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 15:37Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 15:44Goal by St. Louis (Cote, Bishop)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · SJS Thornton, Stuart, Burns, Pavelski, Braun

  25. P1 15:43Shot by St. Louis, saved by Niemi
  26. P1 16:54Shot by Brown, saved by Niemi
  27. P1 18:57Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  28. P1 19:00Shot by Nieto, saved by Bishop
  29. P1 19:30Goal by St. Louis (Brown, Barberio)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Barberio, Johnson, Brown · SJS Thornton, Stuart, Burns, Braun, Nieto

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:24Shot by Braun, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 1:02Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 1:46Shot by Desjardins, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 1:49Hayes: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Killorn, Barberio, Panik · SJS Boyle, Sheppard, McCarthy, Irwin, Hayes

  36. P2 2:07Goal by St. Louis (Purcell, Johnson)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman · SJS Marleau, Stuart, Pavelski, Braun

  37. P2 2:53Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 4:29Shot by Purcell, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 5:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 6:28Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 4:32Shot by Purcell, saved by Niemi
  42. P2 6:29Bishop: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Carle, Hedman, Palat · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Demers, Wingels, Nieto

  43. P2 6:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Niemi4v5
  44. P2 7:11Marleau: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Hedman, Brown · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Demers

  45. P2 9:25Shot by Filppula, saved by Niemi
  46. P2 9:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Niemi
  47. P2 9:59Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 10:37Shot by Panik, saved by Niemi
  49. P2 10:50Shot by Malone, saved by Niemi
  50. P2 11:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  51. P2 12:48Goal by Pavelski (Kennedy, Demers)5v6+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Gudas, Kucherov, Brown · SJS Pavelski, Kennedy, Vlasic, Desjardins, Kearns, Demers

  52. P2 13:01Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Barberio, Johnson, Palat · SJS Marleau, Boyle, Wingels, Irwin, Nieto

  53. P2 13:07Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop4v5
  54. P2 13:09Goal by Pavelski (Boyle, Marleau)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Pavelski, Demers

  55. P2 13:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Niemi
  56. P2 15:49Shot by McCarthy, saved by Bishop
  57. P2 16:33Shot by Demers, saved by Bishop
  58. P2 19:00Goal by Pavelski (Irwin, Thornton)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn · SJS Thornton, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski, Irwin

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:23Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 3:59Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 4:38Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 6:50Cote: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Filppula, Killorn, Kucherov · SJS Boyle, Kennedy, Desjardins, Irwin, Nieto

  65. P3 6:50Desjardins: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Filppula, Killorn, Kucherov · SJS Boyle, Kennedy, Desjardins, Irwin, Nieto

  66. P3 6:50Desjardins: Boarding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Filppula, Killorn, Kucherov · SJS Boyle, Kennedy, Desjardins, Irwin, Nieto

  67. P3 6:50Cote: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Filppula, Killorn, Kucherov · SJS Boyle, Kennedy, Desjardins, Irwin, Nieto

  68. P3 7:02Shot by Salo, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 7:57Irwin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Johnson, Gudas, Palat · SJS Boyle, Kennedy, Kearns, McCarthy, Irwin

  70. P3 11:34Shot by Palat, saved by Niemi
  71. P3 12:46Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 13:10Shot by Vlasic, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 13:38Shot by Palat, saved by Niemi
  74. P3 18:23Shot by Palat, saved by Niemi
  75. P3 18:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi6v5
  76. P3 19:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Niemi6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final