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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 19, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Washington Capitals 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 67% of the time.

NYR winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Goal by Nash, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · WSH Ovechkin, Green, Backstrom, Johansson, Orlov

  3. P1 1:24Shot by Chimera, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 4:49Shot by Richards, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 5:50Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 6:58Shot by Carlson, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 7:02Shot by Carlson, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 7:46Shot by Green, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:50Shot by Carrick, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:55Shot by Boyle, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 9:42Shot by Alzner, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:26Brassard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · WSH Erskine, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Johansson

  13. P1 11:03Shot by Johansson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 14:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 14:30Shot by Stralman, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 15:24Erat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Brassard, Moore, Zuccarello · WSH Erat, Green, Brouwer, Beagle, Orlov

  17. P1 15:45Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Grubauer5v4
  18. P1 15:47Alzner: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · WSH Laich, Brouwer, Alzner, Carlson

  19. P1 16:06Goal by Nash (Richards, McDonagh)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, McDonagh, Stepan · WSH Laich, Backstrom, Carlson

  20. P1 17:49Goal by Stepan (Del Zotto, Girardi)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan, Kreider · WSH Laich, Green, Brouwer, Alzner, Orlov

  21. P1 19:26Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 19:26Kreider: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stralman, Del Zotto, Stepan, Kreider · WSH Chimera, Ward, Laich, Green, Orlov

  23. P1 19:30Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  24. P1 19:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:30Hagelin: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · WSH Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson

  28. P2 0:40Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lundqvist3v5
  29. P2 0:59Goal by Ovechkin (Green, Backstrom)3v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh · WSH Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson

  30. P2 1:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  31. P2 2:25Shot by Moore, saved by Holtby4v5
  32. P2 2:25Goal by Callahan (Moore, Girardi)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · WSH Green, Brouwer, Backstrom, Johansson, Orlov

  33. P2 4:08Shot by Pouliot, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 6:05Shot by Hagelin, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 6:17Shot by Chimera, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 7:13Shot by Erat, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 8:10Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 9:22Shot by Boyle, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 9:22Carcillo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · WSH Erskine, Fehr, Beagle, Wilson, Carrick

  40. P2 9:22Wilson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · WSH Erskine, Fehr, Beagle, Wilson, Carrick

  41. P2 10:21Erat: Interference (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Girardi, McDonagh · WSH Erat, Ovechkin, Green, Orlov

  42. P2 10:45Shot by Richards, saved by Holtby4v3
  43. P2 11:16Shot by Girardi, saved by Holtby4v3
  44. P2 11:33Shot by McDonagh, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 13:39Erskine: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · WSH Erskine, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Johansson, Carrick

  46. P2 15:25Shot by Green, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  47. P2 15:44Shot by Pouliot, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 16:49Erat: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · WSH Erat, Grabovski, Orlov, Wilson, Carrick

  49. P2 16:57Shot by McDonagh, saved by Holtby5v4
  50. P2 17:30Shot by Stepan, saved by Holtby5v4
  51. P2 18:28Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:01Shot by Fehr, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 2:33Shot by Moore, saved by Holtby
  56. P3 4:09Shot by Kreider, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 4:22Shot by Chimera, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 5:38Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  59. P3 6:44Shot by Hagelin, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 7:00Shot by Callahan, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 8:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 10:31Shot by Backstrom, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 12:03Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Staal, Stralman · WSH Chimera, Erskine, Grabovski, Brouwer, Carrick

  64. P3 12:02Shot by Chimera, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 15:16Shot by Pouliot, saved by Holtby
  66. P3 15:49Shot by Green, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 16:31Shot by Orlov, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final