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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 21, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 5, New York Rangers 3

Away

New York Islanders

5

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Goal by Nash (Kreider)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Vanek, Okposo, Donovan, Tavares, de Haan

  3. P1 1:33Shot by Regin, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 1:37Shot by Regin, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 1:35Shot by Martinek, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 2:24Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 2:30Shot by de Haan, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 2:34Del Zotto: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Del Zotto, Moore, Zuccarello · NYI Nielsen, Vanek, Okposo, MacDonald, Tavares

  9. P1 5:51Shot by Pouliot, saved by Poulin
  10. P1 7:02Shot by de Haan, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 7:51Shot by Kreider, saved by Poulin
  12. P1 9:06Shot by Grabner, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 10:05Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  14. P1 10:18Shot by Hagelin, saved by Poulin
  15. P1 11:07Goal by Nash (Girardi, Kreider)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Vanek, Okposo, MacDonald, Donovan, Tavares

  16. P1 13:19Shot by Staal, saved by Poulin
  17. P1 13:47Shot by Regin, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 15:16Shot by Martin, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 16:25Shot by Regin, saved by Talbot
  20. P1 16:32Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  21. P1 16:48Shot by Okposo, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 16:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  23. P1 17:08Shot by Kreider, saved by Poulin
  24. P1 17:22Goal by Martin (Tavares, Okposo)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carcillo, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Martinek, Okposo, Hickey, Martin, Tavares

  25. P1 17:57Cizikas: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Stralman, Del Zotto · NYI McDonald, Regin, Donovan, de Haan, Cizikas

  26. P1 18:03Shot by Brassard, saved by Poulin5v4
  27. P1 18:31Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Poulin5v4
  28. P1 18:37Pouliot: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · NYI Nielsen, Clutterbuck, Strait, MacDonald

  29. P1 18:43Shot by Donovan, saved by Talbot4v4
  30. P1 19:06Shot by Nelson, saved by Talbot4v4
  31. P1 19:28Shot by Girardi, saved by Poulin4v4
  32. P1 19:40Shot by Okposo, saved by Talbot4v4
  33. P1 0:00Okposo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stralman, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · NYI Okposo, MacDonald, Hickey, Tavares, Cizikas

  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:10Nash: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Stepan · NYI Hickey, Tavares, de Haan, Nelson

  37. P2 1:12Shot by Girardi, saved by Poulin4v4
  38. P2 2:53Shot by Grabner, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 3:15Shot by Vanek, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 6:24Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Carcillo, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · NYI Martinek, Vanek, Okposo, Hickey, Tavares

  41. P2 7:06Shot by Stepan, saved by Poulin5v4
  42. P2 8:44Shot by Martin, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 8:45Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · NYI McDonald, Strait, MacDonald, Martin, Cizikas

  44. P2 9:34Goal by Kreider (Stepan, Richards)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Nielsen, Clutterbuck, Hickey, de Haan

  45. P2 10:14Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Talbot
  46. P2 11:03Pouliot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Stralman, Del Zotto, Zuccarello · NYI Martinek, Grabner, Hickey, Bailey, Nelson

  47. P2 13:17Shot by Nash, saved by Poulin
  48. P2 13:22Goal by Hickey (Okposo, Vanek)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Martinek, Vanek, Okposo, Hickey, Tavares

  49. P2 15:17Shot by Brassard, saved by Poulin
  50. P2 16:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  51. P2 16:36Goal by McDonald (Tavares, Regin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Staal, Del Zotto, Kreider · NYI McDonald, Regin, Donovan, Tavares, de Haan

  52. P2 17:28Shot by Pouliot, saved by Poulin
  53. P2 18:02Shot by Nash, saved by Poulin
  54. P2 18:43Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:37Shot by McDonagh, saved by Poulin
  58. P3 3:57Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 4:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 5:19Shot by McDonald, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 5:54Bailey: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Nash, Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · NYI Grabner, Strait, MacDonald, Bailey, Cizikas

  62. P3 6:25Shot by McDonagh, saved by Poulin5v4
  63. P3 8:52Shot by McDonagh, saved by Poulin
  64. P3 9:26Shot by Hagelin, saved by Poulin
  65. P3 9:35Shot by Okposo, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 9:57Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  67. P3 10:36Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Poulin
  68. P3 10:42Shot by Pouliot, saved by Poulin
  69. P3 11:23Shot by Donovan, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 12:01Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  71. P3 12:10Shot by Nash, saved by Poulin
  72. P3 12:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Talbot
  73. P3 12:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 13:52Shot by Regin, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 14:05Shot by Vanek, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 14:16Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin
  77. P3 14:25Kreider: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Stralman, McDonagh, Hagelin · NYI Martinek, Vanek, Okposo, Hickey, Tavares

  78. P3 14:50Shot by MacDonald, saved by Talbot4v5
  79. P3 15:06Shot by Vanek, saved by Talbot4v5
  80. P3 15:22Goal by Vanek (Tavares, Nielsen)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Callahan, Staal, Stralman · NYI Nielsen, Vanek, Okposo, MacDonald, Tavares

  81. P3 16:02Shot by Grabner, saved by Talbot
  82. P3 17:12Shot by Hagelin, saved by Poulin
  83. P3 18:09Shot by Nash, saved by Poulin
  84. P3 18:58Shot by Richards, saved by Poulin6v5
  85. P3 19:53Goal by Nielsen, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Clutterbuck, Strait, MacDonald

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final