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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 21, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakLupul–Kulemin–KadriBodie–Raymond–HollandOrr–McClement–AshtonLupul–Kessel–KadriLupul–Kessel–HollandLupul–Bodie–KadriMcClement–Lupul–KuleminGardiner–RiellyPhaneuf–GunnarssonGleason–FransonPhaneuf–FransonGleason–Gardiner
McGinn–O'Reilly–Duchene2:190.16–0.106:450.12–0.060:440.03–0.001:020.00–0.001:310.05–0.005:060.18–0.174:390.13–0.000:580.15–0.000:370.00–0.00
Talbot–Mitchell–McLeod0:540.00–0.101:450.00–0.010:410.00–0.060:570.00–0.002:450.00–0.081:310.01–0.00
Bordeleau–McLeod–Cliche1:420.26–0.001:240.00–0.000:450.01–0.011:250.00–0.041:120.10–0.001:410.20–0.00
Mitchell–Stastny–Landeskog2:280.14–0.041:000.02–0.020:330.01–0.000:470.01–0.002:060.06–0.020:370.10–0.03
Parenteau–Talbot–MacKinnon0:540.39–0.282:140.03–0.122:110.44–0.001:010.00–0.400:500.00–0.00
Stastny–Landeskog–MacKinnon2:290.02–0.520:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.012:470.02–0.02
Parenteau–Bordeleau–Cliche0:400.00–0.001:320.07–0.021:250.24–0.032:110.00–0.051:160.30–0.00
McLeod–Stastny–Landeskog1:100.00–0.160:300.00–0.00
Parenteau–Stastny–Landeskog1:000.00–0.071:060.02–0.07
Wilson–Barrie2:560.06–0.032:140.03–0.011:240.04–0.030:480.00–0.040:350.00–0.003:230.07–0.083:010.05–0.032:360.03–0.000:370.00–0.00
Hejda–Johnson3:380.02–0.631:430.00–0.072:380.00–0.120:410.00–0.063:240.00–0.062:330.02–0.143:150.02–0.57
Benoit–Holden3:120.00–0.112:440.06–0.031:210.07–0.021:120.05–0.023:020.00–0.132:280.13–0.00
Benoit–Johnson2:140.30–0.371:380.02–0.020:470.00–0.001:110.02–0.002:100.14–0.301:040.02–0.090:440.15–0.00
Hejda–Barrie2:040.47–0.030:380.04–0.001:090.04–0.001:270.42–0.002:090.15–0.001:120.12–0.03
Hejda–Wilson0:370.18–0.000:390.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:590.00–0.021:540.00–0.021:050.18–0.00
Johnson–Wilson0:330.00–0.130:330.00–0.000:360.00–0.13
Benoit–Barrie
Johnson–Holden0:380.00–0.010:470.00–0.18
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStastny FMacKinnon FLandeskog FDuchene FMcGinn FO'Reilly FTalbot FParenteau FCliche FBordeleau FMitchell FMcLeod FJohnson DHejda DHolden DBenoit DBarrie DWilson DVarlamov GGiguere Gvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FLupul FKulemin FKadri FMcClement FOrr FAshton FRaymond FHolland FBodie FPhaneuf DGunnarsson DFranson DGleason DRielly DGardiner DReimer G
COLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR2925:080:522:1848
Erik JohnsonCOL2923:340:491:4054
Phil KesselTOR2623:110:541:4616
Cody FransonTOR3023:040:461:5045
Tyson BarrieCOL2322:410:592:0542
Jan HejdaCOL2621:480:501:3414
Tyler BozakTOR2620:420:481:5419
Carl GunnarssonTOR2820:020:431:3838
James van RiemsdykTOR2520:000:482:1225
Joffrey LupulTOR2319:370:511:4743
Matt DucheneCOL2118:520:541:2843
Tim GleasonTOR2618:290:431:4305
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2118:200:521:2663
Jamie McGinnCOL2318:160:481:1542
Andre BenoitCOL2618:160:421:1754
Jake GardinerTOR2518:030:432:2923
Ryan WilsonCOL2217:180:471:3122
Nazem KadriTOR2317:110:451:4742
Nikolay KuleminTOR2416:340:411:0635
Nick HoldenCOL2016:240:491:1737
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2016:130:491:1631
Paul StastnyCOL2215:500:431:2241
Morgan RiellyTOR2115:230:441:4522
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2114:290:411:1652
Max TalbotCOL2214:150:391:1115
John MitchellCOL2014:070:421:1101
Mason RaymondTOR2214:000:381:4621
PA ParenteauCOL1712:060:431:0643
Cody McLeodCOL1811:550:401:2321
Jay McClementTOR1811:260:381:2428
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL1811:250:381:2145
Troy BodieTOR1511:080:451:0710
Peter HollandTOR1610:450:401:1212
Patrick BordeleauCOL138:410:400:4942
Colton OrrTOR73:520:330:5622
Carter AshtonTOR63:320:351:0522