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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 1, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Ryan–TurrisNeil–Greening–SmithSpezza–Michalek–ZibanejadSpezza–Condra–ConacherSpezza–Conacher–ZibanejadNeil–Smith–ConacherKarlsson–CowenMethot–GrybaWiercioch–CeciMethot–CeciGryba–CowenCowen–Ceci
Lupul–Kulemin–Kadri7:370.23–0.230:390.00–0.360:360.20–0.031:230.02–0.008:170.44–0.091:130.01–0.002:020.00–0.40
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak2:230.20–0.165:180.79–0.184:490.31–0.234:280.32–0.031:100.50–0.020:440.00–0.00
McClement–Bodie–Raymond3:560.11–0.131:000.00–0.040:340.00–0.020:350.09–0.092:520.00–0.082:260.07–0.04
Bodie–Raymond–McKegg1:170.16–0.000:390.02–0.000:530.00–0.001:100.02–0.002:060.16–0.00
McClement–Kessel–Kulemin0:350.26–0.010:390.26–0.01
Franson–Gardiner6:280.28–0.201:520.06–0.070:430.00–0.001:220.03–0.000:430.00–0.023:010.15–0.163:240.03–0.076:190.23–0.040:330.00–0.000:470.07–0.00
Phaneuf–Gunnarsson9:470.40–0.380:440.00–0.368:260.49–0.211:440.01–0.041:510.50–0.36
Gleason–Rielly0:420.00–0.005:200.43–0.171:190.04–0.004:070.22–0.075:320.34–0.050:470.00–0.04
Gleason–Phaneuf1:460.26–0.091:330.27–0.01
Gleason–Gunnarsson0:360.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcClement FRaymond FOrr FLupul FKulemin FKadri Fvan Riemsdyk FKessel FBozak FMcKegg FBodie FMcLaren FFranson DGardiner DPhaneuf DGunnarsson DGleason DRielly DBernier GGreening FSmith FNeil FTurris FMacArthur FRyan FSpezza FZibanejad FMichalek FCondra FKassian FConacher FMethot DGryba DCowen DKarlsson DWiercioch DCeci DAnderson G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3223:420:441:4585
Jared CowenOTT3223:220:441:2375
Marc MethotOTT3423:120:411:5126
Nazem KadriTOR2823:050:491:3253
Dion PhaneufTOR3022:560:461:4474
Eric GrybaOTT3122:170:431:5117
Jake GardinerTOR3021:550:441:2554
Joffrey LupulTOR2521:230:511:2165
Cody FransonTOR3021:090:421:0854
Phil KesselTOR3021:060:421:3042
James van RiemsdykTOR3020:160:411:3041
Kyle TurrisOTT2619:460:461:1444
Clarke MacArthurOTT2519:230:471:1646
Morgan RiellyTOR3018:410:371:2034
Tyler BozakTOR2718:400:411:1342
Tim GleasonTOR3018:380:371:3615
Mason RaymondTOR2618:160:421:1334
Bobby RyanOTT2417:540:451:1042
Nikolay KuleminTOR2517:510:431:1338
Milan MichalekOTT3017:350:351:2391
Carl GunnarssonTOR2716:570:381:0855
Jason SpezzaOTT2916:430:351:1091
Zack SmithOTT2916:260:341:0222
Cody CeciOTT2414:490:371:2341
Mika ZibanejadOTT2614:480:341:2081
Jay McClementTOR2114:070:401:1836
Colin GreeningOTT2413:540:351:0122
Patrick WierciochOTT2213:030:361:2340
Troy BodieTOR2012:050:361:0224
Chris NeilOTT2111:310:330:5222
Cory ConacherOTT159:560:401:1640
Erik CondraOTT168:480:330:5121
Greg McKeggTOR63:430:371:0202
Colton OrrTOR42:270:370:5310
Matt KassianOTT31:300:300:5000
Frazer McLarenTOR20:580:290:3610