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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Cote, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 4:07Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 5:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 8:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 9:13Shot by Barberio, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 9:49Shot by Raymond, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 11:17Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 13:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 13:54Shot by Gleason, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 14:52Shot by Bodie, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 14:56Shot by Bodie, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 14:57Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Malone, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Gudas · TOR Ranger, Bodie, Raymond, Franson, Kulemin

  15. P1 15:07Shot by Bozak, saved by Bishop4v5
  16. P1 16:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Bishop4v5
  17. P1 16:23Shot by Gardiner, saved by Bishop4v5
  18. P1 16:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Bishop4v5
  19. P1 17:44Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 18:05Shot by Clarkson, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 19:06Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 19:27Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 19:53Shot by Clarkson, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  27. P2 1:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 1:57Shot by Malone, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 3:10Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 3:17Shot by Carle, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 3:50Shot by Clarkson, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 3:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 3:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 4:16Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 4:13Shot by Salo, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 6:48Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 7:57Goal by Raymond (Kulemin, Rielly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Barberio · TOR Ranger, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  38. P2 8:15Shot by Lupul, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 8:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 9:32Shot by Cote, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 9:44Shot by Cote, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 11:40Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 14:54Shot by Carle, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 15:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 15:42Shot by Bozak, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 16:01Shot by Gudas, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 16:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 17:43Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 19:11Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:12Shot by Kulemin, saved by Desjardins
  53. P3 2:19Goal by McClement (Clarkson, Lupul)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Filppula, Crombeen, Hedman · TOR Gleason, McClement, Lupul, Clarkson, Rielly

  54. P3 3:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 5:25Shot by Malone, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 5:31Shot by Bodie, saved by Desjardins
  57. P3 5:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Desjardins
  58. P3 5:51Shot by Bozak, saved by Desjardins
  59. P3 7:01Shot by Crombeen, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 7:26Shot by Gudas, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 8:08Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Desjardins
  62. P3 8:10Goal by van Riemsdyk (Gunnarsson, Kessel)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Gudas, Kucherov · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  63. P3 9:06Shot by Bodie, saved by Desjardins
  64. P3 10:28Goal by Palat (St. Louis, Johnson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Barberio, Johnson, Palat · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  65. P3 11:04Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 13:20Shot by Kessel, saved by Desjardins
  67. P3 13:38Shot by Clarkson, saved by Desjardins
  68. P3 14:11Shot by Lupul, saved by Desjardins
  69. P3 14:24Shot by Clarkson, saved by Desjardins
  70. P3 15:43Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 16:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 16:21Shot by Bodie, saved by Desjardins
  73. P3 17:08Goal by Bozak (Kessel)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  74. P3 18:17Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 18:17Gleason: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  76. P3 18:17Gleason: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  77. P3 18:17Bernier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  78. P3 18:17Desjardins: Goalie leave crease (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  79. P3 18:17Gudas: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  80. P3 18:17Brown: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  81. P3 18:17Gleason: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Cote, Crombeen, Killorn, Brown · TOR Gleason, Bodie, Raymond, Kulemin, Rielly

  82. P3 18:35Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier6v4
  83. P3 18:56Shot by Malone, saved by Bernier6v4
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final