Thu, Feb 6, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
24%
8%
60%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.17 | 33.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.04 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.37 | 54.8% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.18 | 55.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:07 | 0.87 | 57.2% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:49 | 0.47 | 51.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.16 | 72.2% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.06 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.18 | 64.8% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.40 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.01 | 36.8% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.13 | 54.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 12:21 | 0.22 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.23 | 42.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:12 | 0.10 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 2.59 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:27 | 0.14 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.07 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.08 | 31.9% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.24 | 38.0% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.20 | 37.3% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.20 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 17:32 | 0.37 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.03 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.07 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.05 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.19 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.13 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.02 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.01 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:57 | 0.61 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:05 | 0.14 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 40:00 | |
| L | 13 | 11 | 2 | .846 | 1.01 | −1.0 | 18:02 |