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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 2, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 2:30Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:36Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Gudas, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 4:44Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 5:51Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 7:52Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 8:10Shot by Malone, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 8:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 8:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Carle, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 9:53Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 10:04Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 11:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 13:31Shot by Carle, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 13:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 14:32Shot by Purcell, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 15:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 16:49Goal by Pyatt (Purcell, Salo)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Stastny, Holden, O'Reilly, MacKinnon · TBL Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Gudas

  21. P1 17:19Goal by Barrie (Stastny, MacKinnon)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Gudas

  22. P1 19:01Goal by O'Reilly (Parenteau, Duchene)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Holden, O'Reilly, Duchene · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman

  23. P1 19:38Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:23Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 1:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 2:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 2:23Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 3:29Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 3:31Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 4:17Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 4:49Shot by Brewer, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 4:50Shot by Brewer, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 5:34Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 5:36Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 5:53Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 6:40Goal by Thompson (Kostka, Carle)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Bordeleau, Cliche, Johnson, Landeskog · TBL Malone, Carle, Thompson, Kostka, Barberio

  39. P2 7:44Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 10:34Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 11:54Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 12:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 13:24Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 13:46Shot by Kostka, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 13:47Duchene: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, O'Reilly, Duchene, Barrie · TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Kostka

  46. P2 15:28Shot by Sarich, saved by Bishop4v5
  47. P2 17:37Goal by Thompson (Kostka)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Mitchell, McGinn, O'Reilly, Barrie · TBL Carle, Thompson, Purcell, Kostka, Brown

  48. P2 17:47Shot by Mitchell, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 18:31Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 18:32Namestnikov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Mitchell, Johnson, McGinn, Landeskog · TBL St. Louis, Barberio, Hedman, Palat, Namestnikov

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:30Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop5v4
  54. P3 0:56Shot by McGinn, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 1:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 1:41Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 1:42Shot by Barberio, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 2:03Shot by Barberio, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 2:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 2:33Shot by Malone, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 2:53Shot by Carle, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 3:24Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 3:31Salo: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Stastny, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene, Barrie · TBL Salo, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Brown

  64. P3 5:04Shot by Parenteau, saved by Bishop5v4
  65. P3 5:12Goal by Holden (O'Reilly, Duchene)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, McGinn, Holden, O'Reilly, Duchene · TBL Barberio, Johnson, Hedman, Palat

  66. P3 6:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 7:29Hedman: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Stastny, Holden, O'Reilly, Duchene · TBL St. Louis, Barberio, Johnson, Hedman, Palat

  68. P3 8:08Shot by McGinn, saved by Bishop5v4
  69. P3 8:23Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov5v4
  70. P3 9:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bishop5v4
  71. P3 9:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Bishop5v4
  72. P3 9:55Killorn: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Talbot, Guenin, Mitchell, McGinn, Holden · TBL Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Kostka, Hedman

  73. P3 12:06Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 12:18Shot by Salo, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 13:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 16:05Goal by Johnson, unassisted+41 pts WP

    On ice: COL Talbot, Hejda, Mitchell, Johnson, McGinn · TBL Malone, Carle, Thompson, Barberio, Brown

  77. P3 16:54Hejda: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Guenin, Hejda, O'Reilly, Duchene, MacKinnon · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Kostka, Namestnikov, Brown

  78. P3 16:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Varlamov
  79. P3 19:06Goal by Holden (Talbot)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Talbot, Hejda, Cliche, Holden · TBL Salo, Malone, Carle, Pyatt, Killorn, Palat

  80. P3 19:53Goal by Stastny (MacKinnon, Landeskog)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · TBL St. Louis, Kostka, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Brown

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final