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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 2, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Colorado Avalanche 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Johnson–PalatPyatt–Purcell–KillornKucherov–Namestnikov–BrownMalone–Thompson–BrownSt. Louis–Malone–ThompsonSt. Louis–Pyatt–KillornMalone–Pyatt–PurcellBrewer–BarberioSalo–HedmanCarle–GudasBrewer–KostkaKostka–HedmanCarle–KostkaSalo–BrewerHedman–GudasCarle–BarberioBarberio–HedmanSalo–Carle
Stastny–Landeskog–MacKinnon4:430.10–0.365:400.32–0.341:140.00–0.323:520.21–0.022:330.13–0.341:080.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:500.05–0.001:290.09–0.01
Parenteau–O'Reilly–Duchene4:090.45–0.002:330.06–0.051:060.14–0.000:430.00–0.003:390.19–0.031:020.19–0.000:540.00–0.000:320.63–0.001:020.13–0.000:380.11–0.020:300.00–0.000:590.10–0.000:430.04–0.00
Talbot–Mitchell–McGinn1:590.03–0.000:540.00–0.003:500.02–0.901:020.02–0.002:130.02–0.351:440.03–0.051:170.00–0.101:120.00–0.000:370.00–0.120:370.00–0.281:130.02–0.00
Bordeleau–McLeod–Cliche1:030.00–0.131:290.01–0.000:310.00–0.040:360.01–0.000:500.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:580.00–0.130:540.00–0.02
Hejda–Johnson9:340.36–0.131:270.00–0.190:510.13–0.200:500.00–0.000:300.05–0.003:050.23–0.363:190.07–0.002:380.00–0.181:060.63–0.001:420.13–0.000:320.00–0.000:420.05–0.000:350.00–0.000:320.02–0.000:480.10–0.00
Guenin–Barrie3:390.13–0.203:570.00–0.512:060.01–0.000:510.01–0.001:590.01–0.182:210.04–0.011:210.00–0.121:290.04–0.001:050.00–0.000:510.08–0.211:230.00–0.411:340.09–0.041:100.00–0.00
Sarich–Holden1:360.17–0.233:110.11–0.131:020.00–0.271:020.00–0.102:120.00–0.171:250.13–0.210:560.00–0.020:300.00–0.120:560.11–0.080:350.00–0.00
Hejda–Holden0:450.01–0.000:400.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Johnson–Barrie0:320.14–0.000:510.27–0.00
Hejda–Barrie0:340.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDuchene FParenteau FO'Reilly FStastny FMacKinnon FLandeskog FMcGinn FMitchell FTalbot FMcLeod FCliche FBordeleau FJohnson DHejda DBarrie DGuenin DHolden DSarich DVarlamov GMalone FSt. Louis FThompson FPyatt FKillorn FPurcell FJohnson FPalat FNamestnikov FBrown FKucherov FGudas DCarle DSalo DHedman DBrewer DBarberio DKostka DBishop G
COLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik JohnsonCOL2524:090:581:4234
Victor HedmanTBL3023:470:481:5543
Martin St. LouisTBL2822:570:492:0142
Jan HejdaCOL2421:160:532:2532
Tyson BarrieCOL2720:570:471:3262
Eric BrewerTBL2720:130:451:1517
Ondrej PalatTBL2520:030:481:3533
Matt DucheneCOL2419:430:491:3434
Tyler JohnsonTBL2519:290:471:1353
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2619:230:451:1624
Paul StastnyCOL2419:190:481:2471
Matt CarleTBL2619:180:452:0005
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2319:160:501:2181
Nick HoldenCOL2319:070:501:2832
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2418:470:471:4181
Tom PyattTBL2318:450:491:1035
PA ParenteauCOL2318:090:471:1634
Nate GueninCOL2618:000:421:1341
Mark BarberioTBL2117:450:512:0014
Jamie McGinnCOL1916:210:522:0520
Teddy PurcellTBL2116:110:461:3243
Sami SaloTBL2816:100:351:0615
Alex KillornTBL2115:250:441:1323
Nate ThompsonTBL2314:200:371:0807
Max TalbotCOL1913:350:431:3012
Ryan MaloneTBL2113:190:381:1802
JT BrownTBL1913:060:411:0212
John MitchellCOL1812:540:431:1910
Michael KostkaTBL1912:110:381:3511
Cory SarichCOL1912:070:381:1622
Nikita KucherovTBL1711:350:411:1233
Radko GudasTBL1510:210:411:1203
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL159:220:371:0112
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL158:400:351:0212
Cody McLeodCOL117:180:401:0610
Patrick BordeleauCOL116:300:350:5410