Mon, Mar 3, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.
57%
28%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.08 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.02 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.21 | 47.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.08 | 56.3% | +28.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:38 | 0.89 | 48.3% | +43.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.06 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.17 | 48.6% | +43.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.11 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.28 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.23 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.28 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.16 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.25 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:03 | 0.16 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 91.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.99 | +1.0 | 59:45 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:04 | 0.25 | 56.6% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:08 | 0.20 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:10 | 0.30 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.46 | 70.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.06 | 68.8% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.38 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.02 | 55.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.28 | 78.6% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.15 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.04 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 15:03 | 1.13 | 38.9% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.19 | 64.6% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.09 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.09 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.17 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 34.4% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.14 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.99 | +1.0 | 59:57 |