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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 3, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Stafford–EnnisD'Agostini–Stewart–HodgsonStewart–Hodgson–FolignoMcCormick–Ellis–LeinoFoligno–Flynn–GirgensonsD'Agostini–Flynn–GirgensonsMoulson–Ennis–FlynnTallinder–MyersEhrhoff–WeberEhrhoff–McBain
Fiddler–Roussel–Garbutt2:470.11–0.222:050.17–0.060:310.00–0.061:350.11–0.054:010.06–0.280:470.17–0.06
Cole–Eakin–Nichushkin0:370.00–0.070:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:500.05–0.003:110.18–0.001:160.00–0.00
Whitney–Benn–Seguin2:370.16–0.001:070.04–0.001:140.14–0.083:160.18–0.082:200.16–0.00
Horcoff–Peverley–Chiasson0:390.04–0.000:350.00–0.001:010.04–0.200:510.00–0.00
Cole–Peverley–Eakin0:440.00–0.090:370.13–0.000:310.13–0.001:310.00–0.09
Benn–Seguin–Nichushkin0:480.00–0.000:330.00–0.050:450.00–0.002:030.00–0.08
Whitney–Horcoff–Chiasson
Cole–Chiasson–Eakin0:300.00–0.06
Peverley–Eakin–Nichushkin0:320.00–0.000:430.04–0.00
Roussel–Eakin–Garbutt
Daley–Goligoski6:350.30–0.601:140.00–0.000:340.00–0.060:350.00–0.003:550.20–0.055:260.15–0.100:410.00–0.49
Benn–Dillon1:130.11–0.003:360.29–0.112:060.25–0.214:280.25–0.132:380.11–0.061:260.28–0.13
Gonchar–Connauton0:550.00–0.002:010.00–0.090:300.10–0.001:060.00–0.001:000.09–0.004:340.32–0.242:350.00–0.09
Gonchar–Daley
Gonchar–Dillon0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGarbutt FRoussel FFiddler FBenn FNichushkin FSeguin FPeverley FEakin FCole FChiasson FWhitney FHorcoff FDaley DGoligoski DDillon DBenn DConnauton DGonchar DLehtonen GStafford FMoulson FEnnis FD'Agostini FHodgson FStewart FFlynn FGirgensons FFoligno FScott FMcCormick FLeino FEllis FWeber DEhrhoff DTallinder DMyers DMcBain DEnroth G
DALBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex GoligoskiDAL2825:040:543:0771
Tyler MyersBUF2423:410:591:3913
Christian EhrhoffBUF2622:170:511:5237
Trevor DaleyDAL2522:080:531:5751
Henrik TallinderBUF2322:040:582:0112
Cody EakinDAL2121:101:001:3853
Tyler SeguinDAL2119:520:571:48100
Jamie BennDAL2319:480:521:48131
Erik ColeDAL1918:511:001:2962
Drew StaffordBUF2718:170:411:2423
Jamie McBainBUF2018:110:551:5312
Jordie BennDAL2217:400:481:2063
Tyler EnnisBUF2217:380:481:4010
Mike WeberBUF2417:380:441:4535
Chris StewartBUF2017:250:521:3735
Ray WhitneyDAL2117:240:501:5171
Valeri NichushkinDAL1817:190:582:0550
Matt MoulsonBUF2117:110:491:5520
Brenden DillonDAL2217:080:471:2062
Sergei GoncharDAL1615:500:592:0321
Cody HodgsonBUF1815:290:521:4133
John ScottBUF1815:080:502:0000
Alex ChiassonDAL2015:030:452:1480
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2014:290:431:2623
Marcus FolignoBUF2114:290:411:1122
Matt D'AgostiniBUF1714:240:511:1522
Brian FlynnBUF1914:150:451:2321
Ryan GarbuttDAL1913:570:441:2913
Cody McCormickBUF1912:140:391:1505
Kevin ConnautonDAL1412:110:521:2910
Rich PeverleyDAL1411:370:501:2933
Antoine RousselDAL1911:070:351:1812
Shawn HorcoffDAL1311:020:511:2930
Vernon FiddlerDAL1810:560:361:0313
Matt EllisBUF147:030:300:5405
Ville LeinoBUF126:380:330:5902