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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 6, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Purcell, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 0:51Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Barberio, Kucherov · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Scott, Ennis

  4. P1 2:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Enroth4v5
  5. P1 3:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 3:19Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 7:14Shot by Callahan, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 7:20Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 7:27Shot by Callahan, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 7:35Shot by Ellis, saved by Lindback
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Killorn, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 8:39Shot by Myers, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 8:45Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lindback
  14. P1 8:47Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lindback
  15. P1 8:48Stewart: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  16. P1 8:48Salo: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  17. P1 8:48Stewart: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  18. P1 9:37Shot by Flynn, saved by Lindback5v4
  19. P1 11:16Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Lindback
  20. P1 12:05Shot by Purcell, saved by Enroth
  21. P1 12:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  22. P1 13:30Shot by Palat, saved by Enroth
  23. P1 13:44Shot by Palat, saved by Enroth
  24. P1 13:45Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  25. P1 15:56Goal by Myers, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Barberio, Kucherov · BUF D'Agostini, Weber, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons

  26. P1 16:27Shot by Tallinder, saved by Lindback
  27. P1 17:20Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lindback
  28. P1 18:35Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  29. P1 19:14Shot by Stafford, saved by Lindback
  30. P1 19:26Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 0:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 1:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Enroth
  36. P2 2:52Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lindback
  37. P2 3:23Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  38. P2 3:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Lindback
  39. P2 6:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  40. P2 6:33Shot by Filppula, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 7:45Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 8:33Shot by Carle, saved by Enroth
  43. P2 8:49Shot by Scott, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 9:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth
  45. P2 9:23Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lindback
  46. P2 9:25Goal by Foligno (Hodgson, Myers)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Pyatt, Hedman, Brown · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  47. P2 10:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Enroth
  48. P2 10:16Flynn: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio, Hedman · BUF Tallinder, Ellis, McBain, Scott, Flynn

  49. P2 11:16Shot by Filppula, saved by Enroth5v4
  50. P2 14:56Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  51. P2 15:58Shot by Myers, saved by Lindback
  52. P2 16:57Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  53. P2 17:07Shot by Pyatt, saved by Enroth
  54. P2 18:17Shot by Kostka, saved by Enroth
  55. P2 19:14Shot by Callahan, saved by Enroth
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:24Shot by Stewart, saved by Lindback
  59. P3 0:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Enroth
  60. P3 1:38Shot by Leino, saved by Lindback
  61. P3 2:30Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  62. P3 2:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Enroth
  63. P3 3:19Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  64. P3 3:27Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 5:18Shot by Killorn, saved by Enroth
  66. P3 7:54Shot by Salo, saved by Enroth
  67. P3 10:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 12:10Shot by Barberio, saved by Enroth
  69. P3 12:23Shot by Brewer, saved by Enroth
  70. P3 13:44Goal by Hodgson (Foligno)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  71. P3 14:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Lindback
  72. P3 16:21Killorn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos · BUF Mitchell, Weber, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno

  73. P3 16:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Lindback4v5
  74. P3 17:31Goal by Johnson (Hedman)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, Myers, Ennis, Foligno

  75. P3 18:20Mitchell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos, Palat · BUF Ellis, Sulzer, Mitchell, McBain, Flynn

  76. P3 19:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Enroth6v4
  77. P3 19:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Enroth6v4
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final