Thu, Mar 6, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
56%
8%
9%
27%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.05 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:58 | 0.12 | 58.7% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.01 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.03 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.27 | 58.4% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.14 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.12 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 17:57 | 0.69 | 61.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.07 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.29 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.06 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.02 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:30 | 0.26 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:53 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:26 | 0.08 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 44 | 43 | 1 | .977 | 3.11 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.05 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:03 | 0.49 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:58 | 0.36 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.24 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.02 | 39.6% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.18 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18:57 | 0.15 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.02 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.28 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.29 | 68.2% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:40 | 0.22 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.24 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.26 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.09 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.11 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.09 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.21 | −0.8 | 58:35 |