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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 7, 2014·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 0, Florida Panthers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 71% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 4:38Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 4:40Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  7. P1 4:41D'Agostini: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Gilbert, Winchester, Pirri, Huberdeau · BUF Tallinder, D'Agostini, McBain, Adam, Flynn

  8. P1 4:58Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  9. P1 6:07Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  10. P1 6:16Foligno: Boarding (5 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Gilbert, Hayes, Pirri, Trocheck · BUF Tallinder, Ellis, McBain, Foligno

  11. P1 6:16Foligno: Game misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Gilbert, Hayes, Pirri, Trocheck · BUF Tallinder, Ellis, McBain, Foligno

  12. P1 6:27Shot by Kulikov, saved by Neuvirth5v3
  13. P1 6:44Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  14. P1 7:45Shot by Ellis, saved by Luongo5v4
  15. P1 8:26Shot by McBain, saved by Luongo5v4
  16. P1 9:22Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  17. P1 11:11Goal by Winchester (Upshall, Gomez)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Gomez, Upshall, Winchester, Olsen · BUF Tallinder, Ellis, Stafford, McBain

  18. P1 11:52Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth
  19. P1 13:02Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 13:27Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 14:28Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  22. P1 15:30Shot by Olsen, saved by Neuvirth
  23. P1 16:27Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 17:28Shot by Boyes, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P1 17:34Shot by Gilbert, saved by Neuvirth
  26. P1 19:55Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Luongo
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:44Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  30. P2 1:20Shot by Trocheck, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 2:01Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 3:51Shot by Gilbert, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 6:51Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  34. P2 7:22Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  35. P2 7:24Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 8:36Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Neuvirth
  37. P2 8:58Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Luongo
  38. P2 10:27Leino: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Boyes, Fleischmann, Kulikov, Bjugstad · BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Leino, Ennis, Flynn

  39. P2 10:34Shot by Trocheck, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  40. P2 11:16Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  41. P2 12:18Stafford: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Gomez, Boyes, Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Kulikov · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, D'Agostini, Weber

  42. P2 12:18Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirthother
  43. P2 10:32Shot by Trocheck, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  44. P2 13:04Gudbranson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Winchester, Olsen, Pirri, Gudbranson, Huberdeau · BUF D'Agostini, Scott, Leino, Myers, Ennis

  45. P2 14:22Shot by Olsen, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  46. P2 15:08Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 15:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 16:03Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Neuvirth
  49. P2 17:29Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth
  50. P2 17:36Shot by Gilbert, saved by Neuvirth
  51. P2 18:53Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P2 19:41Ennis: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Trocheck · BUF Stafford, Weber, Scott, Leino, Ennis

  53. P2 19:58Shot by Upshall, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:44Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  57. P3 1:33Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  58. P3 3:17Shot by Boyes, saved by Neuvirth6v5
  59. P3 3:18D'Agostini: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Bergenheim, Olsen, Bjugstad, Gudbranson, Huberdeau · BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, Weber, Hodgson, Deslauriers

  60. P3 4:04Goal by Kulikov (Boyes, Bjugstad)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Boyes, Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Bjugstad · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Weber, Flynn

  61. P3 4:43Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo
  62. P3 4:55Shot by Olsen, saved by Neuvirth
  63. P3 5:06Shot by Pirri, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 5:15Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Neuvirth
  65. P3 6:31Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  66. P3 6:57Myers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Upshall, Kulikov, Trocheck · BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Leino, Myers, Ennis

  67. P3 8:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Luongo5v4
  68. P3 8:30Shot by Weber, saved by Luongo5v4
  69. P3 9:20Shot by Leino, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 10:30Shot by Adam, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 10:47Shot by Upshall, saved by Neuvirth
  72. P3 12:50Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 13:04Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 13:43Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth
  75. P3 13:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 14:06Shot by Tallinder, saved by Luongo
  77. P3 14:15Adam: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Gomez, Winchester, Hayes, Kulikov · BUF Konopka, Ellis, Myers, Adam, Flynn

  78. P3 14:36Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  79. P3 14:49Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  80. P3 15:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo5v4
  81. P3 15:41Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  82. P3 17:25Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Neuvirth
  83. P3 18:56Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo5v6
  84. P3 19:00Jovanovski: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Boyes, Bergenheim, Bjugstad, Gudbranson · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Adam, Flynn

  85. P3 19:06Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo4v6
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final