Sat, Mar 8, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Montréal Canadiens 0, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 09 | 08 | 010 | 027 |
| SJS | 17 | 219 | 17 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:26SJSTommy WingelsSHGWGAssists: Logan Couture · Slap, 0.66 xG0–1
- P2 1:54SJSTommy WingelsAssists: Matt Irwin, Raffi Torres · Tip-in, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 7:43SJSMatt NietoAssists: Patrick Marleau, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.08 xG0–3
- P3 0:43SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Matt Nieto · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–4
Penalties (26)
- P1 1:42SJSJames Sheppard: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:18MTLJarred Tinordi: Holding2 min
- P1 6:51MTLBrian Gionta: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:50SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:45MTLAlexei Emelin: Interference2 min
- P2 4:19SJSRaffi Torres: Boarding2 min
- P2 4:19MTLJarred Tinordi: Instigator2 min
- P2 4:19MTLJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:19MTLJarred Tinordi: Misconduct10 min
- P2 4:19SJSRaffi Torres: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:59SJSJames Sheppard: Holding2 min
- P3 3:59MTLTravis Moen: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:40MTLLars Eller: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:40MTLLars Eller: Misconduct10 min
- P3 12:40SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:40SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Misconduct10 min
- P3 12:59SJSPatrick Marleau: Holding2 min
- P3 14:18MTLMax Pacioretty: Interference2 min
- P3 16:35MTLAlex Galchenyuk: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 17:24MTLBrian Gionta: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:24SJSJames Sheppard: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:24MTLRyan White: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:24SJSJames Sheppard: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:24SJSMatt Irwin: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:36MTLBrendan Gallagher: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:36SJSScott Hannan: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Desharnais
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Brière – Moen – White4:27
xG 0.07–0.10 (42%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Gionta – Plekanec – Vanek9:21
xG 0.12–0.51 (19%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Bourque – Eller – Galchenyuk5:36
xG 0.13–0.53 (20%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Pacioretty – Gallagher7:21
xG 0.28–1.58 (15%)attempts 8–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Weaver8:56
xG 0.32–0.27 (55%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Murray – Subban2:53
xG 0.07–0.21 (24%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Markov – Weaver2:58
xG 0.12–0.40 (23%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestTorres – Sheppard – Wingels5:59
xG 0.85–0.15 (85%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Marleau – Couture – Nieto7:32
xG 0.46–0.08 (85%)attempts 8–5goals 2–0
- Burish – Kennedy – Desjardins6:43
xG 0.08–0.24 (25%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Irwin7:10
xG 1.32–0.19 (88%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Vlasic – Demers6:38
xG 0.72–0.10 (88%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Hannan – Braun10:34
xG 0.25–0.24 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).