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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:13Shot by Jones, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:02Shot by Clune, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 3:42Shot by Ekholm, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 5:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 5:32Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 6:07Shot by Spaling, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 7:04Shot by Jones, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 7:06Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Greening, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · NSH Eaves, Clune, Ekholm, Sissons, Jones

  11. P1 7:06Clune: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Greening, Gryba, Smith, Cowen · NSH Eaves, Clune, Ekholm, Sissons, Jones

  12. P1 7:14Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 7:23Shot by Nystrom, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 7:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 7:38Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 8:34Shot by Cowen, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 9:26Zibanejad: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Greening, Smith, Zibanejad, Ceci · NSH Nystrom, Hornqvist, Spaling, Ekholm, Sissons, Jones

  18. P1 10:49Shot by Josi, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 11:01Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Anderson4v5
  20. P1 11:16Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 12:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 13:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 14:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 14:55Shot by Turris, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 16:34Shot by Neil, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 17:57Shot by Stalberg, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 19:11Shot by Ellis, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:23Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 1:14Shot by Gaustad, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 1:16Shot by Gaustad, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 2:06Fisher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Gryba, Turris, Hoffman, Cowen · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones

  34. P2 6:18Shot by Sissons, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 7:14Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 8:20Goal by Spaling (Del Zotto, Wilson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson · NSH Spaling, Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis, Smith

  37. P2 8:57Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 9:56Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 10:00Goal by Smith (Ekholm, Jones)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Kassian, Condra, Karlsson, Zibanejad · NSH Nystrom, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith, Jones

  40. P2 11:31Shot by Josi, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 12:43Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Eaves, Del Zotto, Ellis

  42. P2 13:50Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne4v5
  43. P2 14:38Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson4v5
  44. P2 16:05Shot by Gryba, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 17:32Goal by Nystrom, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman · NSH Nystrom, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith, Jones

  46. P2 18:37Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 18:46Shot by Spaling, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 18:57Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 19:18Shot by Cowen, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 19:24Shot by Cowen, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:47Shot by Cullen, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 0:55Turris: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Spaling, Del Zotto, Ellis

  55. P3 3:35Shot by Stalberg, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 3:43Shot by Hemsky, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 4:07Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 4:30Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 4:55Shot by Greening, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 5:07Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 5:29Shot by Cowen, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 5:39Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 6:11Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 7:15Shot by Stalberg, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 7:20Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 7:36Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 7:55Goal by Cowen (Spezza, Hemsky)+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Karlsson, Cowen · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Stalberg, Josi

  68. P3 8:41Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 10:34Goal by Methot (Spezza, Hemsky)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Methot, Gryba, Hoffman · NSH Nystrom, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Sissons

  70. P3 11:30Shot by Phillips, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 12:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 12:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 12:57Shot by Hemsky, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 14:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 15:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 16:27Shot by Nystrom, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 16:45Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  78. P3 17:02Shot by Turris, saved by Rinne
  79. P3 18:08Shot by Gaustad, saved by Lehner
  80. P3 18:53Goal by Spezza (Hemsky, Karlsson)+43 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Karlsson · NSH Nystrom, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith

  81. P3 19:44Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  82. P3 19:59Shot by Hemsky, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. OT 0:00Period start
  85. OT 0:48Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehner4v4
  86. OT 0:50Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehner4v4
  87. OT 1:26Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner4v4
  88. OT 1:39Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne4v4
  89. OT 2:11Shot by Gryba, saved by Rinne4v4
  90. OT 2:19Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne4v4
  91. OT 3:47Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehner4v4
  92. OT 3:49Goal by Jones (Ellis)4v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Hemsky, Karlsson · NSH Wilson, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  93. OT 3:49Period end
  94. OT 3:49Final