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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nystrom–Wilson–SmithCullen–Fisher–HornqvistGaustad–Clune–StalbergSpaling–Wilson–SmithGaustad–Nystrom–StalbergCullen–Fisher–SpalingGaustad–Stalberg–SpalingFisher–Stalberg–SpalingNystrom–Stalberg–SissonsFisher–Eaves–HornqvistFisher–Clune–StalbergFisher–Hornqvist–SpalingCullen–Fisher–EavesNystrom–Eaves–SissonsFisher–Clune–HornqvistWeber–JosiDel Zotto–EllisEkholm–Jones
Ryan–Turris–Hoffman2:320.43–0.141:400.05–0.000:580.04–0.061:280.03–0.000:320.00–0.010:560.00–0.121:270.02–0.030:420.02–0.085:530.18–0.216:330.49–0.121:400.04–0.17
Spezza–Hemsky–Michalek2:170.10–0.430:470.00–0.001:450.37–0.360:530.04–0.211:420.02–0.010:310.00–0.000:530.10–0.070:300.02–0.0010:270.79–0.803:060.03–0.45
Neil–Greening–Smith1:590.02–0.000:580.00–0.040:410.00–0.030:380.02–0.012:470.00–0.002:590.03–0.052:340.00–0.10
Kassian–Condra–Zibanejad0:420.00–0.010:580.00–0.011:230.00–0.041:470.06–0.242:000.00–0.09
Neil–Smith–Zibanejad0:480.01–0.000:370.00–0.001:010.01–0.00
Greening–Smith–Zibanejad0:500.01–0.000:330.00–0.00
Methot–Karlsson3:030.09–0.681:480.00–0.041:210.03–0.180:410.00–0.012:040.00–0.338:010.19–0.844:270.01–0.571:020.03–0.10
Phillips–Gryba1:450.02–0.002:020.03–0.000:350.14–0.000:340.02–0.001:010.00–0.010:410.00–0.030:380.02–0.012:280.02–0.003:280.12–0.042:350.01–0.09
Gryba–Cowen1:060.33–0.031:150.04–0.001:020.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:440.02–0.084:380.04–0.032:390.38–0.001:390.00–0.04
Karlsson–Cowen0:340.05–0.001:120.00–0.000:520.10–0.073:190.48–0.072:430.01–0.021:130.00–0.00
Phillips–Karlsson0:490.03–0.001:310.11–0.360:370.02–0.002:540.28–0.081:390.10–0.290:380.00–0.00
Phillips–Ceci0:420.00–0.000:500.00–0.031:210.00–0.030:410.00–0.03
Phillips–Cowen0:380.00–0.000:420.04–0.14
Methot–Gryba0:350.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGreening FSmith FNeil FRyan FTurris FHoffman FMichalek FSpezza FHemsky FCondra FKassian FZibanejad FPhillips DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DCowen DGryba DAnderson GLehner GSmith FNystrom FWilson FSpaling FCullen FFisher FClune FStalberg FGaustad FEaves FHornqvist FSissons FWeber DJosi DEllis DDel Zotto DJones DEkholm DRinne G
OTTNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3331:590:582:2266
Roman JosiNSH3531:150:541:4979
Shea WeberNSH3530:200:521:4269
Chris PhillipsOTT3225:000:471:2227
Eric GrybaOTT3224:400:461:2127
Mike FisherNSH3223:530:451:4643
Ryan EllisNSH2821:010:451:2614
Jared CowenOTT2720:530:461:3555
Marc MethotOTT2920:200:421:1445
Kyle TurrisOTT2820:130:431:3516
Michael Del ZottoNSH2720:120:451:4123
Jason SpezzaOTT2719:480:441:2876
Craig SmithNSH3119:270:381:2752
Milan MichalekOTT2619:120:441:1475
Bobby RyanOTT2819:100:411:2034
Nick SpalingNSH3118:510:361:0255
Eric NystromNSH2818:300:401:4653
Mike HoffmanOTT2618:290:431:2215
Colin WilsonNSH2918:160:381:3892
Ales HemskyOTT2517:540:431:2876
Zack SmithOTT2416:520:421:4243
Patric HornqvistNSH2216:230:451:5244
Viktor StalbergNSH2216:120:441:0254
Matt CullenNSH2114:490:421:2715
Paul GaustadNSH2213:510:381:0248
Seth JonesNSH2212:520:351:2730
Mika ZibanejadOTT1912:490:401:0871
Colin GreeningOTT1812:200:411:3531
Mattias EkholmNSH2111:580:341:0620
Chris NeilOTT1511:310:461:4231
Rich CluneNSH169:460:371:1352
Erik CondraOTT159:020:361:0814
Colton SissonsNSH138:230:391:0041
Patrick EavesNSH127:230:371:0310
Matt KassianOTT85:210:401:0821
Cody CeciOTT43:430:561:1000