Wed, Mar 19, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
29%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:00 | 0.18 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.15 | 52.3% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.28 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.10 | 56.3% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:56 | 0.09 | 44.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.01 | 69.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.29 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.04 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.66 | 65.6% | +51.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.13 | 53.2% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.04 | 73.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.14 | 74.5% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.26 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:43 | 0.19 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:21 | 0.15 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.45 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 22:39 | 0.19 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.10 | 59.7% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.08 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:04 | 0.09 | 47.3% | +28.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.23 | 43.4% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:01 | 0.69 | 41.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.04 | 49.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.18 | 21.0% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:11 | 1.47 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.01 | 11.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.06 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.03 | 17.5% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:08 | 0.06 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.05 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:37 | 0.11 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.03 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:50 | 0.00 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.78 | −2.2 | 58:18 |