Thu, Mar 20, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
8%
38%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.05 | 38.9% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 21:42 | 0.83 | 23.5% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 25.2% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.44 | 22.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 45.7% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:40 | 0.54 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.07 | 11.6% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.03 | 25.0% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 16:31 | 0.77 | 44.6% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 32.5% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.08 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 15.2% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.12 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:16 | 0.04 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:26 | 0.11 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.32 | −0.7 | 59:53 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 24:07 | 0.21 | 64.2% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.29 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.42 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.21 | 34.3% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:48 | 0.22 | 59.7% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:42 | 0.37 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.43 | 24.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.08 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.11 | 83.2% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.55 | 86.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.30 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.08 | 72.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.03 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:48 | 0.01 | 82.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 3.11 | −1.9 | 58:09 |