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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 29, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 5:53Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 6:19Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 7:47Shot by Ellis, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 8:26Shot by Salo, saved by Hackett
  7. P1 8:31Palat: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, Conacher, Ristolainen · TBL Salo, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat

  8. P1 8:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop5v4
  9. P1 10:55Shot by Foligno, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 11:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hackett
  11. P1 12:20Goal by D'Agostini (Ristolainen, Larsson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · TBL Filppula, Purcell, Hedman, Gudas, Palat

  12. P1 13:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Hackett
  13. P1 14:07Goal by Hodgson (Ehrhoff)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TBL Killorn, Kostka, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  14. P1 16:13Shot by Callahan, saved by Hackett
  15. P1 17:28Shot by Gudas, saved by Hackett
  16. P1 17:34Shot by Carle, saved by Hackett
  17. P1 17:52Goal by Killorn (Kucherov, Carle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, Conacher, Ristolainen · TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Gudas, Kucherov

  18. P1 19:05Shot by Filppula, saved by Hackett
  19. P1 19:46Goal by Stamkos (Brown, Gudas)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, Deslauriers, Ristolainen · TBL Brewer, Purcell, Kostka, Stamkos, Brown

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:50Shot by Brown, saved by Hackett
  23. P2 2:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Hackett
  24. P2 2:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Hackett
  25. P2 4:11Shot by Gudas, saved by Hackett
  26. P2 4:16Shot by Carle, saved by Hackett
  27. P2 4:29Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 4:43Shot by Flynn, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 4:44Shot by Flynn, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 4:54Hedman: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Hodgson, Flynn, Girgensons, Ruhwedel · TBL Salo, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Brown

  31. P2 4:51Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 4:53Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 5:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop5v4
  34. P2 7:33Shot by Purcell, saved by Hackett
  35. P2 7:35Shot by Purcell, saved by Hackett
  36. P2 7:48Shot by Palat, saved by Hackett
  37. P2 8:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 10:01Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 10:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 14:46Larsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF D'Agostini, Weber, McBain, Scott, Larsson · TBL Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman, Gudas

  41. P2 14:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Hackett4v5
  42. P2 15:02Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop4v5
  43. P2 17:05Shot by Brewer, saved by Hackett
  44. P2 17:59Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 18:44Shot by Crombeen, saved by Hackett
  46. P2 19:02Shot by Salo, saved by Hackett
  47. P2 19:18Shot by Foligno, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 19:54Shot by Kostka, saved by Hackett
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:35Shot by Conacher, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 1:07Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Hodgson, Flynn, Girgensons, Ruhwedel · TBL Carle, Purcell, Stamkos, Gudas, Brown

  53. P3 3:57Shot by Brewer, saved by Hackett
  54. P3 4:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Hackett
  55. P3 5:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Hackett
  56. P3 8:14Goal by Conacher, unassisted5v6+28 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Ennis, Conacher, Ruhwedel · TBL Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Kostka, Stamkos, Hedman

  57. P3 8:14Conacher: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, Ennis, Conacher, Ruhwedel · TBL Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Kostka, Stamkos, Hedman

  58. P3 8:31Shot by Callahan, saved by Hackett4v5
  59. P3 8:42Shot by Filppula, saved by Hackett4v5
  60. P3 9:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hackett4v5
  61. P3 9:14Weber: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Weber, McBain, Foligno · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat

  62. P3 9:37Shot by Filppula, saved by Hackett3v5
  63. P3 10:07Goal by Callahan (Purcell, Stamkos)3v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ehrhoff, Flynn · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman

  64. P3 10:28Shot by Salo, saved by Hackett4v5
  65. P3 12:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 14:52Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 14:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 14:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 16:33Shot by Larsson, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 16:41Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 16:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 17:01Shot by Filppula, saved by Hackett
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 0:59Stafford: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Ennis, Ristolainen · TBL Salo, Filppula, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman

  76. OT 1:53Goal by Stamkos (Filppula, Purcell)3v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ehrhoff, Flynn · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Purcell, Stamkos

  77. OT 1:53Period end
  78. OT 1:53Final