Sat, Mar 29, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.
60%
9%
23%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Filppula–Callahan–Palat | Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov | Purcell–Stamkos–Brown | Malone–Crombeen–Thompson | Purcell–Stamkos–Palat | Filppula–Callahan–Brown | Salo–Hedman | Carle–Gudas | Brewer–Kostka | Kostka–Hedman | Carle–Kostka | Brewer–Gudas | Salo–Brewer | Brewer–Carle | Hedman–Gudas | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Agostini–Foligno–Larsson | 2:130.15–0.04 | 2:210.03–0.04 | 2:410.03–0.00 | 1:220.08–0.00 | 2:060.02–0.00 | 2:380.15–0.05 | 4:000.13–0.03 | 3:190.03–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Stafford–Ennis–Conacher | 4:500.19–0.07 | 2:300.02–0.11 | 1:510.00–0.04 | 1:310.25–0.00 | 3:580.41–0.04 | 3:040.01–0.16 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:020.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 0:420.03–0.04 | ||
| Hodgson–Flynn–Girgensons | 1:200.15–0.02 | 2:460.92–0.05 | 3:290.42–0.05 | 1:400.00–0.04 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:410.10–0.00 | 3:500.56–0.05 | 2:410.89–0.00 | 2:150.02–0.05 | 0:520.11–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||
| Ellis–Scott–Deslauriers | 0:360.00–0.01 | 1:320.00–0.04 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:360.01–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Ellis–Foligno–Larsson | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.34 | 0:550.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Stafford–Hodgson–Ennis | 1:070.00–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Stafford–Ennis–Deslauriers | 0:430.13–0.00 | 0:430.13–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Ristolainen | 3:190.16–0.02 | 5:370.26–0.11 | 1:540.02–0.08 | 1:570.00–0.08 | 1:120.00–0.02 | 0:390.25–0.00 | 4:210.50–0.02 | 3:330.01–0.08 | 3:290.05–0.12 | 1:270.11–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.09 | ||
| Weber–McBain | 2:040.00–0.03 | 2:080.00–0.10 | 3:000.03–0.00 | 2:200.08–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:540.01–0.00 | 3:010.00–0.08 | 4:080.11–0.08 | 3:120.01–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tallinder–Ruhwedel | 3:010.27–0.07 | 1:210.00–0.01 | 1:220.08–0.06 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 2:060.02–0.00 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 3:410.27–0.05 | 2:320.20–0.00 | 2:400.00–0.08 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tallinder–Ristolainen | 0:460.03–0.03 | 1:190.05–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Tallinder–McBain | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Weber–Ruhwedel | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Ruhwedel | 0:560.32–0.00 | 0:330.32–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 29 | 26:06 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 6 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 24:45 | 0:57 | 1:49 | 4 | 6 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:47 | 0:53 | 3:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 25 | 23:15 | 0:56 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 28 | 22:18 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 6 | 5 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 25 | 22:10 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 4 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 26 | 21:38 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 1 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 27 | 21:12 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 6 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 26 | 20:57 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 6 | 4 |
 Jamie McBainBUF | 26 | 20:57 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 4 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 27 | 19:48 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 25 | 19:11 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 1 | 5 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 0 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 23 | 17:39 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 17:38 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 1 | 3 |
 Henrik TallinderBUF | 24 | 17:23 | 0:43 | 1:57 | 4 | 3 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 28 | 17:22 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 8 | 6 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 6 | 1 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 23 | 17:10 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt D'AgostiniBUF | 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael KostkaTBL | 21 | 15:44 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 20 | 15:42 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 |
 Chad RuhwedelBUF | 21 | 15:33 | 0:44 | 1:57 | 6 | 2 |
 Cory ConacherBUF | 23 | 15:32 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 25 | 15:05 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 7 | 5 |
 JT BrownTBL | 20 | 14:46 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 15 | 12:42 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 13 | 10:17 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 13 | 8:59 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 14 | 8:39 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 12 | 8:11 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 10 | 7:48 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 13 | 7:21 | 0:34 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 |
 John ScottBUF | 6 | 3:51 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |