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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 29, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Jurco, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Raymond, saved by Howard
  4. P1 3:38Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:38Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:43Shot by Raymond, saved by Howard
  7. P1 4:18Shot by Raymond, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  10. P1 8:16Shot by Andersson, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 8:36Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 8:43Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 9:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:57Goal by Franson (Gardiner, McClement)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Bodie, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner · DET Helm, Andersson, Lashoff, Jurco, DeKeyser

  15. P1 14:48Legwand: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gleason, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · DET Legwand, Quincey, Miller, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  16. P1 14:48Kessel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gleason, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly · DET Legwand, Quincey, Miller, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  17. P1 15:51Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bernier4v4
  18. P1 16:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard4v4
  19. P1 16:59Shot by Jurco, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 17:07Shot by Jurco, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 19:18Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Howard
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:16Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  25. P2 2:09Sheahan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Raymond, Franson, Gardiner, Kadri · DET Quincey, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser

  26. P2 3:00Shot by Helm, saved by Bernier5v4
  27. P2 3:05Goal by Helm (Andersson)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · DET Kronwall, Helm, Andersson, DeKeyser

  28. P2 3:59Shot by Lupul, saved by Howard5v4
  29. P2 4:37Goal by Nyquist (Franzen, Kindl)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Franson, Kadri, D'Amigo · DET Legwand, Franzen, Kindl, Smith, Nyquist

  30. P2 5:09Shot by Lashoff, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 6:06Shot by D'Amigo, saved by Howard
  32. P2 7:05Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 7:14Shot by Raymond, saved by Howard
  34. P2 7:51Shot by Helm, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 7:57Goal by Helm (Kindl, Alfredsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Raymond, Franson, Kadri, Rielly · DET Alfredsson, Kindl, Helm, Andersson, Lashoff

  36. P2 9:05Shot by Kulemin, saved by Howard
  37. P2 12:20Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 13:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  39. P2 14:23Bolland: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Bolland, Gunnarsson, D'Amigo · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Helm, Andersson, DeKeyser

  40. P2 14:23Bolland: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Bolland, Gunnarsson, D'Amigo · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Helm, Andersson, DeKeyser

  41. P2 16:04Shot by Raymond, saved by Howard4v5
  42. P2 17:33Shot by Jurco, saved by Bernier4v5
  43. P2 18:18Shot by Franzen, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 18:57Goal by Lupul (Rielly, Gardiner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak, Rielly · DET Quincey, Miller, Helm, Smith, Andersson

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  48. P3 0:35Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard
  49. P3 1:06Shot by Franson, saved by Howard
  50. P3 3:13Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  51. P3 4:19Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bernier
  52. P3 5:28Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 5:42Shot by Legwand, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 5:57Shot by Franzen, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 6:22Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 6:38Tatar: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak · DET Quincey, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser

  57. P3 6:38Kessel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak · DET Quincey, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser

  58. P3 7:09Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bernier4v4
  59. P3 8:38Goal by Helm (DeKeyser)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Bolland, Raymond, Franson · DET Quincey, Miller, Helm, DeKeyser

  60. P3 10:57Shot by D'Amigo, saved by Howard
  61. P3 11:17Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 11:30van Riemsdyk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak, Rielly · DET Kronwall, Smith, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco

  63. P3 12:40Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier4v5
  64. P3 13:39Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 16:15Shot by Helm, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 17:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  67. P3 18:24Helm: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri · DET Alfredsson, Kindl, Helm, Smith, Andersson

  68. P3 18:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard6v4
  69. P3 19:58Shot by Lupul, saved by Howard6v4
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final