Sat, Mar 29, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.
24%
10%
10%
56%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:22 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.04 | 49.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.01 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.10 | 67.2% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:05 | 0.13 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.25 | 58.1% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.31 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.09 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.04 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.59 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.01 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.09 | 83.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 78.8% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.04 | 65.4% | +22.3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 11:56 | 0.49 | 53.0% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.02 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.58 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.13 | 41.4% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.09 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.03 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.03 | 29.6% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:04 | 0.43 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.12 | 38.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.14 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.29 | 51.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:20 | 0.19 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 68.5% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.07 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 1.90 | −2.1 | 58:13 |