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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 30, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Away

Calgary Flames

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Condra, saved by Ramo
  5. P1 2:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Ramo
  6. P1 3:46Shot by Stone, saved by Ramo
  7. P1 4:10Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 4:43Shot by Neil, saved by Ramo
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ramo
  10. P1 6:52Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ramo
  11. P1 7:29Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 7:28Shot by Brodie, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 7:33Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 8:06Shot by Butler, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 8:25Shot by Galiardi, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 9:40Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 9:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 10:36Shot by Hemsky, saved by Ramo
  19. P1 10:42Goal by Michalek (Karlsson, Hemsky)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson · CGY Stajan, Giordano, Glencross, Colborne, Brodie

  20. P1 11:19Shot by Stone, saved by Ramo
  21. P1 12:26Shot by Neil, saved by Ramo
  22. P1 12:36Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 13:23Goal by Stajan (Hudler, Glencross)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson · CGY Stajan, Hudler, Giordano, Glencross, Butler

  24. P1 15:03Shot by Stone, saved by Ramo
  25. P1 15:34Shot by Gryba, saved by Ramo
  26. P1 16:46Shot by McGrattan, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 17:11Westgarth: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Smith, Wiercioch, Hoffman · CGY McGrattan, Westgarth, Galiardi, Wotherspoon, Billins

  28. P1 19:37Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Hemsky)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Gryba, Cowen · CGY Hudler, Butler, Bouma, Brodie

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Ramo
  32. P2 0:40Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 1:09Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 2:01Shot by Hudler, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 2:39Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 3:58Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 3:59Goal by Byron (Backlund, Cammalleri)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Hemsky, Michalek, Methot, Karlsson · CGY Cammalleri, Giordano, Byron, Backlund, Brodie

  38. P2 4:05Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 5:00Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 5:03Phillips: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Smith, Wiercioch, Stone · CGY Colborne, Bouma, Wotherspoon, Billins, Monahan

  41. P2 5:23Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner4v5
  42. P2 5:39Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner4v5
  43. P2 5:41Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Lehner4v5
  44. P2 6:11Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner4v5
  45. P2 6:35Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner4v5
  46. P2 6:56Shot by Monahan, saved by Lehner4v5
  47. P2 7:05Goal by Monahan (Hudler, Colborne)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Colborne, Brodie, Monahan

  48. P2 7:26Shot by Byron, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 7:37Shot by Stajan, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 7:50Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 9:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ramo
  52. P2 10:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 11:37Shot by Michalek, saved by Ramo
  54. P2 12:26Westgarth: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Kassian, Smith, Karlsson · CGY McGrattan, Russell, Westgarth, Galiardi, Brodie

  55. P2 12:26Kassian: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Kassian, Smith, Karlsson · CGY McGrattan, Russell, Westgarth, Galiardi, Brodie

  56. P2 12:26Kassian: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Kassian, Smith, Karlsson · CGY McGrattan, Russell, Westgarth, Galiardi, Brodie

  57. P2 12:26Kassian: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Kassian, Smith, Karlsson · CGY McGrattan, Russell, Westgarth, Galiardi, Brodie

  58. P2 13:03Shot by Giordano, saved by Lehner4v5
  59. P2 14:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ramo
  60. P2 16:47Goal by Turris (MacArthur)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Methot, Gryba, Turris, Stone · CGY Stajan, Hudler, Glencross, Wotherspoon, Billins

  61. P2 17:01Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  62. P2 18:43Shot by Michalek, saved by Ramo
  63. P2 19:05Shot by Colborne, saved by Lehner
  64. P2 19:38Shot by Phillips, saved by Ramo
  65. P2 19:43Shot by Phillips, saved by Ramo
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:57Shot by Backlund, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 1:02Shot by Byron, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 1:12Goal by Cowen (Zibanejad)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gryba, Condra, Hoffman, Cowen, Zibanejad · CGY Cammalleri, Byron, Backlund, Wotherspoon, Billins

  71. P3 2:52Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 4:21Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 4:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ramo
  74. P3 5:27Shot by Galiardi, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 7:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Ramo
  76. P3 8:16Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ramo
  77. P3 8:21Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Ramo
  78. P3 8:44Neil: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, Smith, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · CGY Russell, Butler, Colborne, Bouma, Monahan

  79. P3 11:59Shot by Glencross, saved by Lehner
  80. P3 12:22Goal by MacArthur (Turris)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Gryba, Turris, Cowen, Stone · CGY Stajan, Hudler, Giordano, Glencross, Brodie

  81. P3 12:53Monahan: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Condra, Wiercioch, Hoffman, Zibanejad · CGY Galiardi, Colborne, Wotherspoon, Billins, Monahan

  82. P3 14:43Shot by Turris, saved by Ramo5v4
  83. P3 15:54Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  84. P3 17:06Shot by MacArthur, saved by Ramo
  85. P3 17:09Shot by Stone, saved by Ramo
  86. P3 18:05Shot by Neil, saved by Ramo
  87. P3 18:39Goal by Turris, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Stone · CGY Cammalleri, Russell, Butler, Byron, Backlund, Monahan

  88. P3 18:53Shot by Michalek, saved by Ramo
  89. P3 18:57Shot by Condra, saved by Ramo
  90. P3 19:54Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Ramo
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final