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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 30, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Cammalleri–Byron–BacklundStajan–Hudler–GlencrossColborne–Bouma–MonahanMcGrattan–Westgarth–GaliardiStajan–Byron–BoumaRussell–ButlerGiordano–BrodieWotherspoon–BillinsRussell–Brodie
MacArthur–Turris–Stone1:130.05–0.003:380.24–0.333:470.57–0.000:490.00–0.006:190.22–0.211:550.17–0.203:440.15–0.000:530.43–0.00
Spezza–Hemsky–Michalek6:330.07–0.391:430.03–0.150:490.03–0.004:180.03–0.167:370.51–0.38
Condra–Hoffman–Zibanejad0:410.04–0.232:130.05–0.001:120.06–0.001:140.15–0.021:400.11–0.001:420.04–0.003:160.19–0.34
Neil–Smith–Hoffman0:470.00–0.051:200.09–0.000:420.02–0.001:400.09–0.030:550.01–0.000:440.00–0.02
Neil–Smith–Zibanejad1:090.06–0.011:060.00–0.091:140.00–0.100:570.02–0.00
Neil–Kassian–Smith0:410.01–0.020:350.00–0.041:320.01–0.09
Gryba–Cowen2:120.64–0.063:470.17–0.922:590.51–0.002:000.15–0.020:370.00–0.134:500.15–0.322:560.21–0.735:390.74–0.150:380.43–0.00
Methot–Karlsson5:230.04–0.412:160.01–0.161:040.00–0.000:530.04–0.043:390.05–0.167:110.36–0.380:460.00–0.00
Phillips–Wiercioch3:170.06–0.004:130.22–0.171:290.05–0.076:070.21–0.171:180.06–0.002:240.06–0.24
Karlsson–Wiercioch2:110.03–0.000:430.00–0.002:000.09–0.162:060.03–0.00
Methot–Gryba1:070.00–0.05
Phillips–Methot0:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMichalek FSpezza FHemsky FTurris FMacArthur FStone FCondra FHoffman FZibanejad FSmith FNeil FKassian FMethot DKarlsson DGryba DCowen DPhillips DWiercioch DLehner GColborne FMonahan FByron FBacklund FCammalleri FBouma FGlencross FHudler FStajan FMcGrattan FWestgarth FGaliardi FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DButler DBillins DWotherspoon DRamo G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris RussellCGY3625:140:421:2843
Mark GiordanoCGY3323:480:431:2484
Chris ButlerCGY3323:480:431:2234
TJ BrodieCGY3022:510:462:1052
Erik KarlssonOTT2521:550:531:5474
Mikael BacklundCGY2920:440:431:2763
Eric GrybaOTT2420:370:521:4616
Jared CowenOTT2420:210:511:3417
Michael CammalleriCGY2720:040:451:2263
Patrick WierciochOTT2619:470:462:1035
Kyle TurrisOTT2319:180:501:3735
Milan MichalekOTT2218:440:511:4153
Marc MethotOTT2518:220:441:1147
Mark StoneOTT2117:560:511:3732
Clarke MacArthurOTT2417:540:451:2845
Matt StajanCGY2417:480:451:4545
Paul ByronCGY2617:470:411:2633
Chris PhillipsOTT2517:340:421:5443
Joe ColborneCGY2417:250:441:3541
Curtis GlencrossCGY2316:160:421:3082
Jason SpezzaOTT2016:130:491:2853
Zack SmithOTT2215:210:422:1514
Ales HemskyOTT2015:170:461:2664
Sean MonahanCGY2514:480:361:2341
Lance BoumaCGY2214:420:401:1523
Jiri HudlerCGY2314:400:381:1751
Mike HoffmanOTT2114:390:421:5722
Mika ZibanejadOTT2213:490:381:1131
Chad BillinsCGY2213:010:361:1550
Erik CondraOTT1912:490:401:1915
Tyler WotherspoonCGY2011:220:341:2240
Chris NeilOTT1910:550:340:5612
TJ GaliardiCGY168:150:311:1220
Brian McGrattanCGY136:540:321:0620
Kevin WestgarthCGY136:450:310:5820
Matt KassianOTT82:310:190:4901