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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 4, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Leino–Ennis–ConacherD'Agostini–Hodgson–GirgensonsAdam–Deslauriers–LarssonEllis–Scott–FlynnEnnis–Conacher–FlynnScott–Deslauriers–LarssonEhrhoff–RistolainenMcCabe–RuhwedelWeber–McBainEhrhoff–RuhwedelEhrhoff–McBainWeber–Ruhwedel
Miller–Helm–Glendening1:590.02–0.006:240.29–0.074:240.12–0.002:390.03–0.021:560.09–0.081:110.02–0.000:320.00–0.02
Tatar–Sheahan–Jurco2:170.14–0.031:350.04–0.454:540.26–0.103:180.20–0.544:080.17–0.092:180.07–0.00
Legwand–Franzen–Nyquist6:150.24–0.361:160.19–0.004:100.37–0.142:370.11–0.161:400.04–0.07
Alfredsson–Datsyuk–Abdelkader1:040.15–0.001:170.08–0.003:540.02–0.220:390.00–0.002:180.02–0.071:030.00–0.154:190.34–0.00
Datsyuk–Franzen–Nyquist0:530.14–0.001:120.00–0.000:340.07–0.000:340.00–0.001:440.25–0.00
Alfredsson–Legwand–Abdelkader0:400.01–0.000:470.00–0.010:470.01–0.011:150.00–0.011:050.02–0.01
Kronwall–Smith8:270.63–0.112:270.31–0.000:390.03–0.001:200.07–0.151:130.01–0.045:300.39–0.014:560.45–0.183:490.17–0.110:580.00–0.000:370.00–0.01
Quincey–DeKeyser3:520.05–0.286:320.26–0.531:130.00–0.011:350.00–0.076:240.13–0.672:560.03–0.143:570.13–0.070:430.02–0.02
Kindl–Lashoff1:050.00–0.007:180.25–0.122:040.02–0.003:370.19–0.044:320.09–0.104:200.20–0.00
Quincey–Kindl0:510.00–0.060:330.00–0.00
Quincey–Smith0:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMiller FGlendening FHelm FNyquist FFranzen FLegwand FSheahan FTatar FJurco FAbdelkader FAlfredsson FDatsyuk FSmith DKronwall DQuincey DDeKeyser DKindl DLashoff DHoward GHodgson FD'Agostini FGirgensons FConacher FEnnis FLeino FLarsson FDeslauriers FAdam FScott FEllis FFlynn FEhrhoff DRistolainen DRuhwedel DMcCabe DMcBain DWeber DHackett G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF2825:570:561:5934
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2822:530:491:4525
Niklas KronwallDET3022:160:451:1964
Danny DeKeyserDET2922:130:461:2742
Cory ConacherBUF2320:470:541:1055
Kyle QuinceyDET2720:390:461:2741
Tyler EnnisBUF2320:390:541:2355
Jamie McBainBUF2619:560:461:4328
Brendan SmithDET2919:240:401:1952
Johan FranzenDET2319:160:501:3451
Ville LeinoBUF2018:380:561:3304
Chad RuhwedelBUF2318:110:471:2142
Gustav NyquistDET2217:580:491:2931
Pavel DatsyukDET2317:450:461:2743
Cody HodgsonBUF2317:410:461:2711
Mike WeberBUF2417:300:442:0018
Jakub KindlDET2217:000:461:3842
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2416:090:401:0133
Jake McCabeBUF2115:330:441:1433
Johan LarssonBUF2115:120:431:3722
David LegwandDET1814:570:501:3450
Brian LashoffDET1914:520:471:3823
Tomas JurcoDET2014:150:431:3863
Matt D'AgostiniBUF2314:080:371:3143
Justin AbdelkaderDET1914:020:441:1531
Luke GlendeningDET2313:500:361:0534
Riley SheahanDET2013:470:411:1363
Drew MillerDET2313:430:361:0334
Darren HelmDET2113:420:391:0532
Tomas TatarDET2013:300:411:0863
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1813:160:441:3722
Luke AdamBUF1612:470:481:1132
Daniel AlfredssonDET1812:400:421:1951
Brian FlynnBUF1610:510:410:5625
Matt EllisBUF158:480:350:4913
John ScottBUF106:500:410:5612