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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 8, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  5. P1 2:50Shot by Nash, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:22Goal by Dwyer (Bellemore)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pouliot, Brassard, Zuccarello, Diaz · CAR Liles, Dwyer, Gerbe, Staal, Bellemore

  7. P1 5:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  8. P1 7:36Shot by Richards, saved by Ward
  9. P1 11:53Shot by Nash, saved by Ward
  10. P1 12:01Shot by Semin, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 12:14Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  12. P1 13:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 15:05Shot by Harrison, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 15:08Shot by Harrison, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 15:26Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 15:35Semin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, Dorsett, Moore · CAR Hainsey, Semin, Staal, Loktionov, Faulk

  17. P1 15:44Goal by Richards (St. Louis, Stepan)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Richards, Nash, Girardi, Stepan · CAR Malhotra, Hainsey, Dwyer, Faulk

  18. P1 16:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 17:26Shot by Bellemore, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 18:17Shot by Girardi, saved by Ward
  21. P1 18:25Shot by Brassard, saved by Ward
  22. P1 18:27Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:50Goal by Pouliot (Zuccarello, Stralman)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · CAR Hainsey, Semin, Staal, Loktionov, Faulk

  26. P2 1:40Shot by Diaz, saved by Ward
  27. P2 2:37Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 2:51Shot by Murphy, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 3:06Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 3:07Shot by Dwyer, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 4:34Shot by Staal, saved by Ward
  32. P2 6:09Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 9:52Shot by Loktionov, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 9:56Shot by Loktionov, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 9:59Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 11:26Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  37. P2 11:39Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  38. P2 13:08Skinner: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Hagelin, Zuccarello · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Skinner, Murphy

  39. P2 13:36Goal by Richards (Girardi, St. Louis)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Richards, Nash, Girardi, Stepan · CAR Malhotra, Hainsey, Dwyer, Faulk

  40. P2 14:11Shot by Staal, saved by Ward
  41. P2 14:44Shot by Dwyer, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 14:49Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 16:57Shot by Stepan, saved by Ward
  44. P2 17:06Shot by Diaz, saved by Ward
  45. P2 17:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  46. P2 19:12Shot by Fast, saved by Ward
  47. P2 19:39Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:53Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ward
  51. P3 1:55Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ward
  52. P3 3:30Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  53. P3 3:34Shot by Nash, saved by Ward
  54. P3 3:51Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  55. P3 3:58Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  56. P3 4:22Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 4:38Goal by Stepan (St. Louis, Stralman)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Nash, Staal, Stralman, Stepan · CAR Harrison, Semin, Staal, Loktionov, Murphy

  58. P3 5:58Shot by Lindholm, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 6:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward
  60. P3 10:26Faulk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Bowman, Loktionov, Faulk

  61. P3 11:52Shot by Richards, saved by Ward5v4
  62. P3 11:57Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ward5v4
  63. P3 13:15Shot by Klein, saved by Ward
  64. P3 14:46Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 15:02Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 15:27Shot by Faulk, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 17:22Shot by Richards, saved by Ward
  68. P3 17:24Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ward
  69. P3 18:20Shot by Murphy, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 18:40Shot by Richards, saved by Ward
  71. P3 19:14Shot by Staal, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 19:32Shot by Dorsett, saved by Ward
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final