Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 11, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 3, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 93% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 1:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kuemper
  5. P1 1:51Goal by Coyle (Brodin, Suter)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Stuart, Wilson, O'Reilly, Landeskog, Everberg · MIN Suter, Haula, Coyle, Niederreiter, Brodin

  6. P1 3:24Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 3:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 5:51Shot by Barrie, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 10:45Shot by Brière, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 10:46Parise: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brière, Stuart, Tanguay, Wilson, MacKinnon · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Granlund

  11. P1 12:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Kuemper5v4
  12. P1 12:48Shot by Landeskog, saved by Kuemper
  13. P1 13:03Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 13:17Shot by Duchene, saved by Kuemper
  15. P1 15:14Johnson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brière, Tanguay, Johnson, Holden, MacKinnon · MIN Pominville, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Brodin

  16. P1 15:27Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 15:29Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  18. P1 15:50Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov4v5
  19. P1 15:52Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov4v5
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  21. P1 16:07Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov4v5
  22. P1 16:19Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  23. P1 17:09Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov4v5
  24. P1 18:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Kuemper
  25. P1 18:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Kuemper
  26. P1 18:49Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 19:31Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:29Duchene: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, McGinn, Holden, Duchene · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Brodin

  31. P2 2:23Johnson: Elbowing (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, McGinn, Wilson · MIN Cooke, Scandella, Haula, Niederreiter, Folin

  32. P2 2:23Johnson: Game misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, McGinn, Wilson · MIN Cooke, Scandella, Haula, Niederreiter, Folin

  33. P2 2:38Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  34. P2 2:45Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov4v5
  35. P2 3:18Vanek: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Hejda, McLeod, Wilson, O'Reilly · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Vanek, Suter, Parise

  36. P2 4:01Shot by Barrie, saved by Kuemper4v4
  37. P2 5:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kuemper4v5
  38. P2 6:14Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov4v5
  39. P2 7:18Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov4v5
  40. P2 7:39Landeskog: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, Everberg · MIN Scandella, Coyle, Granlund, Niederreiter, Folin

  41. P2 7:39Coyle: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Stuart, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, Everberg · MIN Scandella, Coyle, Granlund, Niederreiter, Folin

  42. P2 8:01Shot by Wilson, saved by Kuemper4v4
  43. P2 8:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Kuemper4v4
  44. P2 8:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov4v4
  45. P2 8:29Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov4v4
  46. P2 11:10Shot by Iginla, saved by Kuemper
  47. P2 11:50Goal by Zucker (Vanek, Dumba)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brière, Tanguay, Wilson, Holden, MacKinnon · MIN Koivu, Vanek, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  48. P2 13:40Shot by Folin, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 13:48Carter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Talbot, McLeod, Cliche, Holden, Barrie · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Carter, Dumba, Folin

  50. P2 14:31Shot by Cooke, saved by Varlamov5v4
  51. P2 15:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kuemper5v4
  52. P2 16:55Shot by Iginla, saved by Kuemper
  53. P2 17:33Shot by Holden, saved by Kuemper
  54. P2 17:44Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  55. P2 18:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper
  56. P2 18:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper
  57. P2 19:51Shot by Talbot, saved by Kuemper
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:29Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 0:31Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 1:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kuemper
  63. P3 1:28Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 1:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 2:13Shot by Cooke, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 2:55Shot by McLeod, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 3:47Shot by Holden, saved by Kuemper
  68. P3 3:50Shot by Barrie, saved by Kuemper
  69. P3 7:13Barrie: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, McGinn, Holden, Duchene, Barrie · MIN Suter, Haula, Coyle, Niederreiter, Brodin

  70. P3 8:37Shot by Tanguay, saved by Kuemper4v5
  71. P3 9:11Landeskog: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Stuart, Holden, Duchene, Landeskog · MIN Vanek, Haula, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  72. P3 9:24Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov4v5
  73. P3 12:03Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 12:20Brodziak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brière, Stuart, Tanguay, Wilson, MacKinnon · MIN Brodziak, Carter, Scandella, Coyle, Folin

  75. P3 12:20Brière: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Brière, Stuart, Tanguay, Wilson, MacKinnon · MIN Brodziak, Carter, Scandella, Coyle, Folin

  76. P3 12:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper4v4
  77. P3 12:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper4v4
  78. P3 12:55Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper4v4
  79. P3 13:07Shot by Landeskog, saved by Kuemper4v4
  80. P3 15:35Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 17:27Cooke: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Iginla, McGinn, Wilson, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · MIN Cooke, Koivu, Vanek, Scandella, Spurgeon

  82. P3 19:06Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Kuemper6v4
  83. P3 19:56Goal by Parise (Cooke, Spurgeon)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Brière, Stuart, Tanguay, McGinn, O'Reilly, Barrie · MIN Cooke, Parise, Brodziak, Scandella, Spurgeon

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final