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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 17, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 1, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Bolland, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 1:40Shot by Olsen, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 2:36Shot by Boyes, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 3:20Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 5:03Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 5:18MacKenzie: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Stafford, Myers, Ennis · FLA MacKenzie, Boyes, Kopecky, Olsen, Gudbranson

  9. P1 5:57Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo5v4
  10. P1 6:53Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo5v4
  11. P1 7:47Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 9:23Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Enroth
  13. P1 10:06Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  14. P1 10:13Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enroth
  15. P1 11:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 12:27Shot by Kopecky, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 12:57Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 13:37Foligno: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Mitchell, Girgensons, Ristolainen · FLA Campbell, Upshall, Bergenheim, Bolland, Huberdeau, Ekblad

  19. P1 16:26Shot by Mitchell, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 17:47Shot by Hayes, saved by Enroth
  21. P1 19:35Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enroth
  22. P1 19:50Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  23. P1 19:51Gorges: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Stafford, Myers, Ennis · FLA Campbell, Hayes, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Ekblad

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:14Barkov: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Mitchell, Weber, Myers, Girgensons · FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov

  27. P2 2:18Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  28. P2 2:22Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  29. P2 3:01Goal by Bergenheim (Boyes, Kulikov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Weber, Stewart, Hodgson, Foligno · FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Boyes, Bergenheim, Kulikov

  30. P2 5:44Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  31. P2 5:54Shot by Meszaros, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 7:50Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 7:59Shot by Stewart, saved by Luongo
  34. P2 9:02Girgensons: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Mitchell, Girgensons, Ristolainen · FLA Mitchell, Kopecky, Upshall, Bolland, Kulikov

  35. P2 9:02Upshall: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Mitchell, Girgensons, Ristolainen · FLA Mitchell, Kopecky, Upshall, Bolland, Kulikov

  36. P2 9:06Shot by Mitchell, saved by Enroth4v4
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Campbell, saved by Enroth4v4
  38. P2 11:18Shot by Girgensons, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 12:12Shot by Weber, saved by Luongo
  40. P2 13:06Shot by Hayes, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 13:35Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 14:04Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  43. P2 15:12Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  44. P2 15:17Shot by Ekblad, saved by Enroth
  45. P2 15:20Shot by Boyes, saved by Enroth
  46. P2 15:30Meszaros: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Stafford, Meszaros, Ennis · FLA Campbell, MacKenzie, Boyes, Jokinen, Bergenheim, Ekblad

  47. P2 15:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth4v5
  48. P2 16:08Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth4v5
  49. P2 17:20Hayes: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Mitchell, Weber, Girgensons · FLA Boyes, Hayes, Olsen, Bjugstad, Ekblad

  50. P2 17:33Shot by Stafford, saved by Luongo5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:42Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  54. P3 1:01Shot by Hayes, saved by Enroth
  55. P3 1:18Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  56. P3 1:34Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  57. P3 2:04Shot by Mitchell, saved by Luongo
  58. P3 3:52Deslauriers: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stewart, Myers, Deslauriers, Reinhart · FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Jokinen, Hayes, Kulikov, Barkov

  59. P3 5:39Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enroth4v5
  60. P3 6:45Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 6:46Gudbranson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Myers, Ennis · FLA Mitchell, Kopecky, Bolland, Hayes, Gudbranson

  62. P3 7:43Shot by Myers, saved by Luongo5v4
  63. P3 7:49Shot by Hodgson, saved by Luongo5v4
  64. P3 7:58Bolland: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · FLA Mitchell, Kopecky, Bolland, Olsen

  65. P3 8:28Shot by Myers, saved by Luongo5v3
  66. P3 8:49Shot by Myers, saved by Luongo5v4
  67. P3 9:19Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo5v4
  68. P3 9:22Stewart: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Meszaros, Stewart, Girgensons · FLA Kopecky, Upshall, Olsen, Gudbranson

  69. P3 11:03Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth4v5
  70. P3 12:07Shot by McCormick, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 13:09Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 15:10Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 15:22Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 16:03Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luongo
  75. P3 16:17Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  76. P3 16:58Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  77. P3 18:44Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  78. P3 19:42Shot by Myers, saved by Luongo6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final