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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kelly–Eriksson–SoderbergGagne–Krejci–LucicBergeron–Marchand–SmithCampbell–Paille–FraserCampbell–Lucic–SmithSeidenberg–HamiltonMcQuaid–KrugChara–HamiltonSeidenberg–McQuaidChara–KrugChara–McQuaidMiller–KrugSeidenberg–Krug
Stewart–Hodgson–Foligno0:570.00–0.004:510.25–0.150:420.00–0.001:000.00–0.021:450.02–0.110:430.00–0.002:090.03–0.002:230.19–0.000:580.00–0.150:540.03–0.00
Stafford–Mitchell–Girgensons1:540.27–0.012:340.16–0.222:060.19–0.190:370.00–0.001:260.05–0.002:540.34–0.102:250.00–0.171:160.29–0.15
McCormick–Deslauriers–Flynn2:310.00–0.071:270.00–0.052:050.18–0.160:530.00–0.000:330.00–0.051:270.18–0.250:460.00–0.001:020.00–0.001:350.00–0.071:080.00–0.001:330.00–0.00
Gionta–Moulson–Ennis3:000.15–0.241:150.07–0.050:500.35–0.000:390.00–0.182:130.54–0.051:510.00–0.001:010.00–0.181:160.03–0.180:370.00–0.01
Meszaros–Weber3:470.42–0.251:000.00–0.012:160.10–0.041:580.19–0.153:560.16–0.132:000.18–0.001:550.10–0.221:130.00–0.001:170.00–0.000:470.29–0.15
Gorges–Myers3:280.00–0.042:500.02–0.031:300.00–0.081:430.35–0.020:390.00–0.181:230.37–0.012:360.00–0.071:540.02–0.012:280.03–0.180:590.00–0.011:170.00–0.010:530.00–0.10
Benoit–Ristolainen2:140.00–0.003:390.23–0.202:050.16–0.151:180.00–0.000:370.00–0.002:080.00–0.051:450.16–0.033:080.01–0.121:390.19–0.000:570.00–0.130:450.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen1:260.00–0.050:570.18–0.131:290.18–0.200:310.00–0.020:440.00–0.00
Gorges–Weber0:580.00–0.070:580.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMitchell FStafford FGirgensons FGionta FMoulson FEnnis FHodgson FStewart FFoligno FMcCormick FDeslauriers FFlynn FRistolainen DBenoit DWeber DMeszaros DGorges DMyers DEnroth GSmith FBergeron FMarchand FEriksson FKelly FSoderberg FGagne FLucic FKrejci FCampbell FFraser FPaille FHamilton DChara DMiller DSeidenberg DMcQuaid DKrug DSvedberg G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dougie HamiltonBOS2825:210:542:1055
Zdeno CharaBOS2924:220:501:2638
Tyler MyersBUF2422:380:571:4062
Adam McQuaidBOS2822:230:481:4849
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2622:220:521:2624
Torey KrugBOS2320:330:541:2613
Drew StaffordBUF2319:400:511:4073
Andre BenoitBUF2619:360:451:4366
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2219:220:531:3063
Josh GorgesBUF2219:220:531:4022
Andrej MeszarosBUF2318:470:491:2356
Cody HodgsonBUF2218:400:511:4982
Loui ErikssonBOS2317:240:451:2886
David KrejciBOS1917:190:551:3434
Matt MoulsonBUF2017:020:512:0483
Milan LucicBOS1616:381:021:3642
Mike WeberBUF2316:240:431:1529
Chris KellyBOS2116:170:471:2256
Brian GiontaBUF2016:110:491:5854
Chris StewartBUF1716:090:571:4353
Tyler EnnisBUF2015:480:472:0464
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2115:340:441:2236
Carl SoderbergBOS1815:120:511:2272
Patrice BergeronBOS2514:590:361:0935
Brad MarchandBOS2214:270:391:0923
Reilly SmithBOS1713:370:482:0043
Simon GagneBOS1512:440:511:3424
Marcus FolignoBUF1612:410:481:2033
Torrey MitchellBUF1612:320:471:2713
Cody McCormickBUF1512:130:491:3124
Gregory CampbellBOS1511:330:461:1604
Brian FlynnBUF1611:210:431:0225
Daniel PailleBOS1410:410:461:1703
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1410:000:431:0125
Matt FraserBOS96:450:451:1100
Kevan MillerBOS53:230:410:5601