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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 9, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Andersson, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 3:42Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 4:16Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  5. P1 4:22Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  6. P1 5:31Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:10Callahan: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Andersson, Glendening · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Garrison, Stamkos

  9. P1 6:14Goal by Franzen (Kronwall, Nyquist)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Franzen, Abdelkader, Nyquist · TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat

  10. P1 6:59Bishop: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Franzen, Nyquist, DeKeyser · TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  11. P1 7:30Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop5v4
  12. P1 8:02Shot by Kindl, saved by Bishop5v4
  13. P1 10:09Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:58Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:02Shot by Paquette, saved by Howard
  16. P1 11:16Quincey: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Cleary, Quincey, Helm, Nestrasil, DeKeyser · TBL Stralman, Garrison, Stamkos, Namestnikov, Paquette, Drouin

  17. P1 11:25Glendening: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Andersson, Glendening · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Johnson

  18. P1 11:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard3v5
  19. P1 12:04Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard3v5
  20. P1 12:53Goal by Stamkos (Filppula, Callahan)3v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Smith, DeKeyser · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Johnson

  21. P1 14:42Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  22. P1 16:20Miller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Kindl, Smith, Andersson, Glendening · TBL Brewer, Namestnikov, Paquette, Sustr, Drouin

  23. P1 16:42Shot by Garrison, saved by Howard4v5
  24. P1 19:02Gudas: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Franzen, Kindl, Nyquist · TBL Carle, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr, Drouin

  25. P1 19:11Shot by Franzen, saved by Bishop5v4
  26. P1 19:43Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:00Shot by Glendening, saved by Bishop5v4
  31. P2 2:19Goal by Stamkos (Callahan)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Cleary, Ericsson, Miller, Helm, Smith · TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Sustr

  32. P2 3:41Sheahan: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Sheahan · TBL Brewer, Morrow, Boyle, Brown, Sustr

  33. P2 6:02Goal by Johnson (Palat)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Franzen, Kindl, Nyquist · TBL Brewer, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  34. P2 9:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  35. P2 10:34Paquette: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Quincey, Kindl, Abdelkader, Tatar, Sheahan · TBL Brewer, Namestnikov, Paquette, Sustr, Drouin

  36. P2 11:37Goal by Helm (Franzen, Kronwall)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Franzen, Kindl, Helm, Nestrasil, Sheahan · TBL Brewer, Garrison, Johnson, Palat

  37. P2 12:11Shot by Andersson, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 12:48Quincey: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Quincey, Kindl, Helm, Nestrasil · TBL Brewer, Morrow, Boyle, Brown, Sustr

  39. P2 13:52Shot by Garrison, saved by Howard4v5
  40. P2 14:43Shot by Carle, saved by Howard4v5
  41. P2 16:32Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  42. P2 17:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  43. P2 19:10Shot by Garrison, saved by Howard
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  47. P3 1:36Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  48. P3 5:21Shot by Callahan, saved by Howard
  49. P3 8:49Goal by Nyquist (Ericsson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Andersson, Nyquist, Glendening · TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Sustr

  50. P3 9:09Shot by Callahan, saved by Howard
  51. P3 9:42Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 10:26Shot by Garrison, saved by Howard
  53. P3 10:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  54. P3 10:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  55. P3 10:56Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  56. P3 11:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  57. P3 13:41Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 13:43Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. OT 0:00Period start
  61. OT 0:26Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard4v4
  62. OT 1:19Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard4v4
  63. OT 3:09Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop4v4
  64. OT 3:33Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop4v4
  65. OT 3:38Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop4v4
  66. OT 4:37Shot by Drouin, saved by Howard4v4
  67. OT 5:00Period end
  68. SO Period start
  69. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishopother
  70. SO Goal by Callahan, unassistedother
  71. SO Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishopother
  72. SO Shot by Helm, saved by Bishopother
  73. SO Period end
  74. SO Final