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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 9, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Callahan–StamkosJohnson–Palat–KucherovNamestnikov–Paquette–DrouinMorrow–Boyle–BrownFilppula–Namestnikov–PaquetteCarle–StralmanGarrison–GudasBrewer–SustrBrewer–GudasGarrison–SustrCarle–Gudas
Zetterberg–Franzen–Nyquist2:550.11–0.155:420.12–0.750:580.00–0.002:040.00–0.098:460.21–0.802:380.02–0.140:370.00–0.00
Abdelkader–Tatar–Sheahan1:220.00–0.001:270.00–0.003:590.02–0.022:020.00–0.003:280.00–0.003:020.00–0.022:040.02–0.000:460.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Miller–Andersson–Glendening7:370.16–0.390:410.02–0.040:520.03–0.002:140.00–0.013:170.17–0.212:130.03–0.001:100.00–0.100:400.00–0.10
Cleary–Helm–Nestrasil1:310.07–0.143:130.05–0.000:540.05–0.003:090.08–0.000:550.00–0.00
Kronwall–Ericsson8:230.11–0.261:440.00–0.001:290.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:320.00–0.004:180.09–0.025:330.00–0.142:490.02–0.000:400.00–0.10
Quincey–Kindl2:040.04–0.021:090.00–0.102:300.11–0.023:230.01–0.002:430.00–0.051:400.04–0.023:400.12–0.061:070.00–0.04
Smith–DeKeyser1:060.16–0.123:160.12–0.691:300.02–0.010:390.00–0.004:260.12–0.712:110.18–0.120:430.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Quincey–DeKeyser2:280.00–0.002:080.00–0.142:310.00–0.001:210.00–0.080:370.00–0.00
Kindl–Smith2:150.00–0.091:450.00–0.090:420.00–0.00
Ericsson–Smith0:400.00–0.140:430.00–0.06
Kindl–DeKeyser0:470.00–0.000:310.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndNyquist FZetterberg FFranzen FAndersson FGlendening FMiller FCleary FHelm FNestrasil FAbdelkader FSheahan FTatar FQuincey DDeKeyser DEricsson DKronwall DKindl DSmith DHoward GJohnson FPalat FKucherov FCallahan FFilppula FStamkos FMorrow FBoyle FBrown FNamestnikov FPaquette FDrouin FGarrison DGudas DStralman DCarle DBrewer DSustr DBishop G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarleTBL2827:561:002:1545
Anton StralmanTBL2927:150:562:1564
Jason GarrisonTBL2924:540:522:2054
Steven StamkosTBL2324:511:051:5463
Niklas KronwallDET3124:280:471:4966
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2323:381:021:5473
Danny DeKeyserDET3022:450:461:2924
Ryan CallahanTBL2322:320:591:5473
Jonathan EricssonDET2822:190:481:4946
Henrik ZetterbergDET2421:140:531:3041
Justin AbdelkaderDET2521:110:511:3561
Brendan SmithDET2919:340:401:2924
Johan FranzenDET2319:240:511:2760
Gustav NyquistDET2319:030:501:1940
Kyle QuinceyDET2519:010:461:1040
Radko GudasTBL2418:430:471:2513
Joakim AnderssonDET2217:100:471:1924
Luke GlendeningDET2516:590:411:1227
Tyler JohnsonTBL2316:590:441:3741
Jakub KindlDET2216:570:461:1950
Ondrej PalatTBL2316:440:441:1341
Eric BrewerTBL2215:520:431:4214
Tomas TatarDET1915:270:491:1350
Riley SheahanDET2114:350:421:1250
Drew MillerDET2114:210:411:1925
Nikita KucherovTBL2014:210:431:0221
Jonathan DrouinTBL1713:080:461:0712
JT BrownTBL1812:420:421:2506
Andrej SustrTBL2012:390:381:0812
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1512:000:481:0401
Brian BoyleTBL1811:530:401:0206
Cedric PaquetteTBL1410:570:471:0801
Darren HelmDET159:260:381:1050
Andrej NestrasilDET128:490:441:0950
Brenden MorrowTBL127:510:390:5503
Daniel ClearyDET117:400:421:1331