Sat, Nov 22, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 4, San Jose Sharks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 27 | 06 | 16 | 06 | 1 | 425 |
| SJS | 011 | 214 | 113 | 05 | 0 | 343 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:08ARIAntoine VermettePPAssists: Shane Doan, Mikkel Boedker · Slap, 0.41 xG1–0
- P1 12:05ARIDavid SchlemkoAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Lauri Korpikoski · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 4:11SJSTommy WingelsSHAssists: Barclay Goodrow · Snap, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 17:53SJSAndrew DesjardinsAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Matt Nieto · Slap, 0.18 xG2–2
- P3 0:52ARIShane DoanAssists: Sam Gagner, Tobias Rieder · Wrist, 0.43 xG3–2
- P3 7:47SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Brent Burns, Logan Couture · Deflected, 0.15 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 2. ARI Sam Gagner stopped
- 3. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 4. ARI Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 5. SJS Barclay Goodrow stopped
- 6. ARI Antoine Vermette scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:58SJSTomas Hertl: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 2:46SJSAndrew Desjardins: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:34ARIShane Doan: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:34ARIAntoine Vermette: Boarding2 min
- P3 7:12ARIMichael Stone: Hooking2 min · PPG
- OT 1:05ARIShane Doan: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Gagner – Rieder15:15
xG 0.88–0.76 (54%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Erat – Chipchura – Lessio8:36
xG 0.05–0.52 (9%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker13:29
xG 0.08–0.61 (11%)attempts 6–17goals 1–0
- Crombeen – Vitale – McMillan8:17
xG 0.29–0.82 (26%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Murphy16:16
xG 0.84–0.60 (58%)attempts 13–16goals 1–0
- Schlemko – Stone13:32
xG 0.38–0.54 (41%)attempts 11–23goals 1–0
- Yandle – Stone2:53
xG 0.01–0.22 (5%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Couture – McGinn7:54
xG 0.71–0.26 (73%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Kennedy – Desjardins – Nieto5:26
xG 0.41–0.03 (92%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Sheppard – Wingels – Goodrow10:18
xG 0.38–0.04 (92%)attempts 14–3goals 0–0
- Kennedy – Desjardins – McGinn3:45
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHannan – Mueller13:31
xG 1.02–0.08 (93%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Braun17:24
xG 0.73–0.39 (65%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Burns – Dillon18:25
xG 0.73–0.93 (44%)attempts 23–14goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).