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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 9, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 3, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 83% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 1:12Shot by Cullen, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 2:23Goal by Forsberg (Bourque, Jones)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Carey, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Rendulic · NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Bourque, Forsberg, Jones

  6. P1 4:00Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 5:18Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  8. P1 5:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 8:53McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brière, McLeod, Holden, Redmond, MacKinnon · NSH Jokinen, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  11. P1 9:27Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard4v5
  12. P1 10:08Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne4v5
  13. P1 10:39Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard4v5
  14. P1 12:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 12:31Shot by Redmond, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 12:59Tanguay: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  18. P1 13:19Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard4v5
  19. P1 13:27Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard4v5
  20. P1 15:17Ellis: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Talbot, Hejda, Johnson, Duchene · NSH Ribeiro, Nystrom, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  21. P1 18:50Shot by Bourque, saved by Pickard
  22. P1 19:13Shot by Bourque, saved by Pickard
  23. P1 19:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 0:39Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  28. P2 0:47Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  29. P2 1:03Shot by Jokinen, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 1:21Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 2:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 2:30Shot by Redmond, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 2:45Shot by Rendulic, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 3:05Ellis: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg

  35. P2 4:10Shot by Cullen, saved by Pickard5v4
  36. P2 4:10Carey: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, Redmond, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Cullen, Volchenkov, Bourque, Jones

  37. P2 7:24Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  38. P2 8:20Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  39. P2 12:46Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  40. P2 13:12Tanguay: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg

  41. P2 11:42Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 14:13Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard4v5
  43. P2 16:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 15:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  45. P2 17:46Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 19:37Iginla: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg

  47. P2 19:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Pickard4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:27Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard4v5
  51. P3 2:34Shot by Ellis, saved by Pickard4v5
  52. P3 2:39Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard4v5
  53. P3 4:04Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 4:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 4:56Shot by Redmond, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 7:13Shot by Brière, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 7:55Shot by Jones, saved by Pickard
  58. P3 7:59Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  59. P3 8:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  60. P3 9:30Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 10:15Shot by Jones, saved by Pickard
  62. P3 10:21Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Pickard
  63. P3 10:28Shot by McLeod, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 10:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 10:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 11:42Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  67. P3 15:43Shot by Jones, saved by Pickard
  68. P3 15:44Shot by Jokinen, saved by Pickard
  69. P3 16:30Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  70. P3 17:38Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Pickard
  71. P3 18:10Goal by Bourque (Ribeiro)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Ribeiro, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Bourque

  72. P3 19:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne6v5
  73. P3 19:02Goal by Neal (Ribeiro, Forsberg)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Hejda, Redmond, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  74. P3 19:23Ekholm: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL Brière, Talbot, Guenin, McLeod, Stollery · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque

  75. P3 19:23McLeod: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Brière, Talbot, Guenin, McLeod, Stollery · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque

  76. P3 19:58Shot by Stollery, saved by Rinne4v4
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final