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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 9, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 3, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 83% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Neal–ForsbergCullen–Fisher–SmithJokinen–Wilson–JarnkrokFisher–Nystrom–BourqueNystrom–Bourque–JarnkrokCullen–Nystrom–BourqueRibeiro–Wilson–SmithRibeiro–Nystrom–BourqueJokinen–Nystrom–BourqueEllis–EkholmWeber–JosiVolchenkov–Jones
Iginla–Landeskog–MacKinnon2:130.04–0.003:080.04–0.062:560.35–0.091:020.00–0.104:580.10–0.095:360.56–0.160:470.00–0.03
Brière–Talbot–McLeod1:310.02–0.023:280.01–0.021:540.00–0.001:110.00–0.002:470.02–0.022:470.07–0.004:220.00–0.18
Tanguay–O'Reilly–Duchene4:320.24–0.080:540.04–0.000:410.00–0.014:050.09–0.193:100.24–0.06
Carey–Duchene–Rendulic0:430.00–0.001:000.01–0.000:430.00–0.001:000.01–0.00
Brière–Duchene–Rendulic0:520.00–0.011:040.00–0.01
Talbot–Carey–Rendulic0:310.04–0.000:310.04–0.00
Carey–MacKinnon–Rendulic0:370.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Hejda–Johnson5:150.21–0.081:150.01–0.000:530.01–0.032:030.00–0.100:320.00–0.013:490.01–0.144:560.21–0.162:050.05–0.03
Guenin–Barrie1:290.03–0.033:460.02–0.060:410.02–0.071:070.01–0.000:520.00–0.014:280.02–0.103:160.10–0.130:520.00–0.00
Redmond–Stollery0:380.00–0.032:480.32–0.002:150.04–0.001:380.28–0.03
Redmond–Barrie1:410.01–0.020:480.00–0.001:200.03–0.061:440.00–0.04
Johnson–Barrie0:570.00–0.030:480.00–0.000:570.00–0.14
Hejda–Redmond0:350.00–0.000:470.02–0.001:100.20–0.00
Guenin–Redmond0:420.04–0.001:040.04–0.000:370.00–0.00
Holden–Redmond0:410.00–0.000:340.05–0.000:410.00–0.000:310.04–0.000:360.02–0.00
Guenin–Holden0:340.06–0.00
Hejda–Barrie0:520.09–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDuchene FTanguay FO'Reilly FMacKinnon FLandeskog FIginla FTalbot FBrière FMcLeod FRendulic FCarey FJohnson DHejda DGuenin DBarrie DStollery DRedmond DHolden DPickard GForsberg FNeal FRibeiro FCullen FFisher FSmith FJokinen FJarnkrok FWilson FNystrom FGaustad FBourque FWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DJones DVolchenkov DRinne G
COLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3027:300:551:5855
Shea WeberNSH3025:490:521:4246
Erik JohnsonCOL3123:460:461:5247
Jan HejdaCOL3223:240:441:1138
Ryan EllisNSH2822:500:492:1804
Mike RibeiroNSH2421:360:541:5722
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2520:340:491:3834
Mike FisherNSH2520:330:491:1255
Tyson BarrieCOL2420:060:501:4642
Max TalbotCOL2719:550:441:3337
Nate GueninCOL2519:150:461:4604
James NealNSH2518:540:451:2142
Mattias EkholmNSH2418:420:471:3414
Matt DucheneCOL2418:180:461:4653
Filip ForsbergNSH2418:050:451:2142
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2417:550:451:3035
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2317:350:461:2833
Zach RedmondCOL2417:160:432:1554
Colin WilsonNSH2016:340:501:2341
Craig SmithNSH2016:160:491:2051
Seth JonesNSH2016:140:491:2832
Jarome IginlaCOL2015:580:481:3833
Daniel BrièreCOL1815:310:521:4653
Cody McLeodCOL2215:250:421:3335
Alex TanguayCOL2314:180:371:0144
Matt CullenNSH2013:530:421:1623
Eric NystromNSH1913:160:421:1514
Olli JokinenNSH1712:150:431:2723
Calle JarnkrokNSH1811:270:381:1124
Gabriel BourqueNSH1710:380:380:5323
Anton VolchenkovNSH1510:030:401:1312
Nick HoldenCOL138:110:381:0112
Borna RendulicCOL107:470:471:5230
Karl StolleryCOL106:390:401:1531
Paul CareyCOL106:270:391:0220
Paul GaustadNSH20:480:240:3901