Mon, Dec 22, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 1, Vancouver Canucks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 011 | 118 | 010 | 139 |
| VAN | 310 | 217 | 213 | 740 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:34VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Bo Horvat, Derek Dorsett · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 17:17VANKevin BieksaGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P1 19:18VANDaniel SedinAssists: Radim Vrbata, Chris Tanev · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–3
- P2 1:41VANBrad RichardsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–4
- P2 12:19VANAlexandre BurrowsPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Backhand, 0.36 xG0–5
- P2 15:03ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Sam Gagner, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–5
- P3 7:09VANChris HigginsPPAssists: Linden Vey, Nick Bonino · Snap, 0.30 xG1–6
- P3 9:33VANShawn MatthiasPPAssists: Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–7
Penalties (17)
- P1 11:50VANAlexander Edler: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:11VANKevin Bieksa: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:11ARIKeith Yandle: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:50VANTom Sestito: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 11:50ARIKyle Chipchura: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 11:50ARIKyle Chipchura: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 11:50ARIKyle Chipchura: Instigator2 min
- P2 13:54VANRyan Stanton: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:21ARIKeith Yandle: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:32ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:27ARIAntoine Vermette: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:05ARIShane Doan: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:34VANDerek Dorsett: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:06ARIMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:06VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:06VANTom Sestito: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:06ARIKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestErat – Moss – Chipchura6:05
xG 0.31–0.04 (88%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Moss – Chipchura – Rieder2:11
xG 0.14–0.02 (89%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Crombeen – Vitale – McMillan7:39
xG 0.19–0.08 (71%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Erat – Hanzal – Gagner3:00
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Yandle2:52
xG 0.35–0.05 (87%)attempts 7–2goals 0–1
- Yandle – Schlemko5:22
xG 0.26–0.06 (82%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Michalek – Schlemko5:07
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBurrows – Dorsett – Horvat6:16
xG 0.24–0.04 (86%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata12:11
xG 0.69–0.60 (53%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
- Higgins – Bonino – Vey9:35
xG 0.03–0.31 (10%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Richardson – Sestito – Matthias8:25
xG 0.14–0.60 (19%)attempts 3–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev10:14
xG 0.86–0.59 (59%)attempts 11–15goals 2–0
- Stanton – Tanev3:43
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Stanton10:40
xG 0.18–0.28 (39%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).