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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Gerbe: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos · CAR Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Nash, Faulk

  3. P1 1:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward5v4
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  5. P1 6:22Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 6:30Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 6:32Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 6:33Callahan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn · CAR Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Nash, Faulk

  9. P1 8:01Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop4v5
  10. P1 8:50Goal by Kucherov (Palat)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Liles, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Malone

  11. P1 9:33Shot by Gudas, saved by Ward
  12. P1 9:39Shot by Barberio, saved by Ward
  13. P1 10:04Shot by Barberio, saved by Ward
  14. P1 11:36Callahan: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Barberio, Gudas · CAR Gleason, Staal, Gerbe, Nash, Jordan

  15. P1 11:41Lindholm: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Stralman, Paquette · CAR Gleason, Gerbe, Nash, Faulk, Lindholm

  16. P1 11:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward4v4
  17. P1 12:32Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward4v4
  18. P1 12:50Shot by Liles, saved by Bishop4v4
  19. P1 13:45Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  20. P1 14:37Shot by Woods, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 15:04Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  22. P1 16:00Shot by McClement, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 16:52Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward
  24. P1 19:21Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 19:38Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 19:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn · CAR Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Terry, Faulk

  30. P2 1:48Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop4v5
  31. P2 3:10Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  32. P2 7:41Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 8:18Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  34. P2 8:35Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  35. P2 12:28Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 12:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  37. P2 13:04Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward
  38. P2 14:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  39. P2 14:28Shot by Malone, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 14:40Shot by Faulk, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 14:57Shot by Carle, saved by Ward
  42. P2 16:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  43. P2 17:03Shot by Malone, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 17:05Malone: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Gudas, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Dwyer, Sekera, Nash, Malone, Faulk

  45. P2 17:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward5v4
  46. P2 19:20Shot by Carle, saved by Ward
  47. P2 19:36Shot by Filppula, saved by Ward
  48. P2 19:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:23Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 1:35Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 1:40Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop
  54. P3 2:59Shot by Liles, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 3:50Shot by Woods, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 4:53Goal by Killorn (Callahan, Filppula)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Hedman, Sustr · CAR Gleason, Dwyer, Nash, Malone, Jordan

  57. P3 5:34Shot by Killorn, saved by Ward
  58. P3 5:56Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 6:29Shot by Barberio, saved by Ward
  60. P3 8:15Skinner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos · CAR Sekera, Jordan, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm

  61. P3 9:35Shot by Palat, saved by Ward5v4
  62. P3 9:35Killorn: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Gleason, McClement, Dwyer

  63. P3 9:35Gleason: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Gleason, McClement, Dwyer

  64. P3 9:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward5v4
  65. P3 10:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward5v4
  66. P3 10:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward5v4
  67. P3 10:14Ward: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Dwyer, Faulk

  68. P3 10:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward5v4
  69. P3 11:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward5v4
  70. P3 11:37Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward5v4
  71. P3 12:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  72. P3 13:18Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 13:44Shot by Carle, saved by Ward
  74. P3 14:04Goal by Nash (Sekera, Staal)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Barberio, Gudas · CAR Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Nash, Faulk

  75. P3 14:16Shot by Liles, saved by Bishop
  76. P3 15:34Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  77. P3 16:41Staal: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Palat · CAR Liles, Staal, Gerbe, Nash, Jordan

  78. P3 18:30Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward5v4
  79. P3 19:03Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop5v6
  80. P3 19:25Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final