Sat, Dec 27, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
60%
9%
8%
23%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Rask–Lindholm | Staal–Gerbe–Terry | Dwyer–Nash–Malone | Staal–Gerbe–Nash | McClement–Dwyer–Terry | Malone–Boychuk–Woods | McClement–Boychuk–Woods | McClement–Dwyer–Malone | McClement–Dwyer–Gerbe | Sekera–Faulk | Hainsey–Liles | Gleason–Jordan | Hainsey–Faulk | Hainsey–Sekera | Liles–Sekera | Gleason–Faulk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Callahan–Killorn | 0:330.00–0.00 | 4:390.46–0.15 | 3:160.08–0.66 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 4:580.54–0.73 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 3:060.06–0.04 | |||||||||
| Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | 4:200.13–0.11 | 1:550.00–0.05 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.07–0.00 | 3:590.13–0.09 | 2:540.07–0.03 | 1:230.00–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Stamkos–Connolly–Paquette | 1:210.04–0.04 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:310.03–0.05 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:260.10–0.00 | 2:210.06–0.04 | 2:500.03–0.05 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | ||
| Morrow–Boyle–Brown | 2:040.00–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.10 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.04 | 3:030.06–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 4:260.02–0.12 | 3:270.40–0.21 | 2:290.00–0.03 | 3:580.42–0.16 | 4:440.03–0.06 | 2:110.08–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.14 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Barberio–Gudas | 1:150.04–0.04 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 3:010.05–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.17 | 1:360.01–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 1:100.14–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 3:150.12–0.26 | 4:570.06–0.05 | 1:060.04–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | ||
| Carle–Stralman | 3:120.11–0.10 | 1:370.06–0.04 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 2:590.08–0.58 | 1:210.09–0.00 | 4:440.25–0.51 | 1:170.07–0.00 | 3:200.02–0.12 | ||||||||
| Carle–Sustr | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:470.13–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin FaulkCAR | 32 | 27:47 | 0:52 | 2:08 | 8 | 6 |
 Andrej SekeraCAR | 31 | 24:04 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 23:59 | 1:05 | 1:59 | 6 | 6 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 27 | 22:39 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 1 | 7 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 25 | 21:52 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 8 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeCAR | 26 | 21:16 | 0:49 | 2:16 | 2 | 7 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 22 | 20:27 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 2 | 4 |
 John-Michael LilesCAR | 26 | 19:46 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 24 | 19:44 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 19:43 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 24 | 19:30 | 0:49 | 2:38 | 7 | 1 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 26 | 18:12 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 3 | 7 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 18:11 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 18 | 18:02 | 1:00 | 1:57 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 21 | 17:31 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 5 | 5 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 19 | 17:25 | 0:55 | 1:59 | 6 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 17:23 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 8 | 2 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 20 | 17:02 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 0 | 5 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 24 | 17:01 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 6 | 4 |
 Riley NashCAR | 24 | 16:28 | 0:41 | 1:52 | 3 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 15:43 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 18 | 14:25 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 14 | 14:15 | 1:01 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 20 | 14:15 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 5 | 3 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 24 | 14:12 | 0:36 | 1:14 | 7 | 2 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 20 | 14:05 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 1 | 7 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 17 | 13:05 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Brad MaloneCAR | 17 | 10:38 | 0:38 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 14 | 9:25 | 0:40 | 1:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Michal JordanCAR | 13 | 9:13 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 0 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 12 | 8:47 | 0:44 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Brenden MorrowTBL | 8 | 6:26 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach BoychukCAR | 8 | 6:03 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 0 |
 Brendan WoodsCAR | 7 | 5:54 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |